Løvsletten O, Rypdal M
Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Tromsø, 9037 Tromsø, Norway.
Phys Rev E Stat Nonlin Soft Matter Phys. 2012 Apr;85(4 Pt 2):046705. doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.85.046705. Epub 2012 Apr 27.
We present an approximated maximum likelihood method for the multifractal random walk processes of [E. Bacry et al., Phys. Rev. E 64, 026103 (2001)]. The likelihood is computed using a Laplace approximation and a truncation in the dependency structure for the latent volatility. The procedure is implemented as a package in the r computer language. Its performance is tested on synthetic data and compared to an inference approach based on the generalized method of moments. The method is applied to estimate parameters for various financial stock indices.
我们提出了一种针对[E. 巴克里等人,《物理评论E》64卷,026103(2001年)]中的多重分形随机游走过程的近似极大似然方法。似然性通过拉普拉斯近似以及对潜在波动率的依赖结构进行截断来计算。该程序以R计算机语言的一个包的形式实现。其性能在合成数据上进行了测试,并与基于广义矩方法的推断方法进行了比较。该方法被应用于估计各种金融股票指数的参数。