Nichols Gordon L, Richardson Judith F, Sheppard Samuel K, Lane Chris, Sarran Christophe
HPA Colindale, Health Protection Agency, London, UK.
BMJ Open. 2012 Jul 12;2(4). doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2012-001179. Print 2012.
To review Campylobacter cases in England and Wales over 2 decades and examine the main factors/mechanisms driving the changing epidemiology.
A descriptive study of Campylobacter patients between 1989 and 2011. Cases over 3 years were linked anonymously to postcode, population density, deprivation indices and census data. Cases over 5 years were anonymously linked to local weather exposure estimates.
Patients were from general practice, hospital and environmental health investigations through primary diagnostic laboratories across England and Wales.
There were 1 109 406 cases.
Description of changes in Campylobacter epidemiology over 23 years and how the main drivers may influence these.
There was an increase in Campylobacter cases over the past 23 years, with the largest increase in people over 50 years. Changes in the underlying population have contributed to this, including the impacts of population increases after World War I, World War II and the 'baby boom' of the 1960s. A recent increase in risk or ascertainment within this population has caused an increase in cases in all age groups from 2004 to 2011. The seasonal increase in cases between weeks 18 (Early May) and 22 (Early June) was consistent across ages, years and regions and was most marked in children and in more rural regions. Campylobacter prevalence by week in each region correlated with temperature 2 weeks before. There were higher prevalences in areas with a low population density, low deprivation and lower percentage of people of ethnic origin. Data from sero-phage and multilocus sequence typing show a few common types and many uncommon types.
The drivers/mechanisms influencing seasonality, age distribution, population density, socioeconomic and long-term differences are diverse and their relative contributions remain to be established. Surveillance and typing provide insights into Campylobacter epidemiology and sources of infection, providing a sound basis for targeted interventions.
回顾英格兰和威尔士20多年来的弯曲杆菌病例,并研究推动流行病学变化的主要因素/机制。
对1989年至2011年间的弯曲杆菌患者进行描述性研究。超过3年的病例与邮政编码、人口密度、贫困指数和人口普查数据进行匿名关联。超过5年的病例与当地天气暴露估计值进行匿名关联。
患者来自英格兰和威尔士各地通过初级诊断实验室进行的全科医疗、医院和环境卫生调查。
共有1109406例病例。
描述23年来弯曲杆菌流行病学的变化以及主要驱动因素如何影响这些变化。
在过去23年中,弯曲杆菌病例有所增加,50岁以上人群增加最多。潜在人口的变化促成了这一情况,包括第一次世界大战、第二次世界大战后人口增长以及20世纪60年代“婴儿潮”的影响。该人群近期风险或确诊率的增加导致2004年至2011年所有年龄组的病例数增加。病例在第18周(5月初)至第22周(6月初)之间的季节性增加在各年龄、年份和地区均一致,在儿童和农村地区最为明显。每个地区按周计算的弯曲杆菌患病率与两周前的温度相关。在人口密度低、贫困程度低和少数族裔人口比例低的地区患病率较高。血清噬菌体和多位点序列分型数据显示有几种常见类型和许多罕见类型。
影响季节性、年龄分布、人口密度、社会经济和长期差异的驱动因素/机制多种多样,它们的相对贡献仍有待确定。监测和分型为弯曲杆菌流行病学和感染源提供了见解,为有针对性的干预措施提供了坚实基础。