Department of Occupational Health and Safety Engineering, Semyung University, Republic of Korea.
Ind Health. 2012;50(6):567-74. doi: 10.2486/indhealth.2012-0048. Epub 2012 Oct 8.
To minimize industrial accidents, it's critical to evaluate a firm's priorities for prevention factors and strategies since such evaluation provides decisive information for preventing industrial accidents and maintaining safety management. Therefore, this paper proposes the evaluation of priorities through statistical testing of prevention factors with a cause analysis in a cause and effect model. A priority matrix criterion is proposed to apply the ranking and for the objectivity of questionnaire results. This paper used regression method (RA), exponential smoothing method (ESM), double exponential smoothing method (DESM), autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model and proposed analytical function method (PAFM) to analyze trends of accident data that will lead to an accurate prediction. This paper standardized the questionnaire results of workers and managers in manufacturing and construction companies with less than 300 employees, located in the central Korean metropolitan areas where fatal accidents have occurred. Finally, a strategy was provided to construct safety management for the third industrial accident prevention plan and a forecasting method for occupational accident rates and fatality rates for occupational accidents per 10,000 people.
为了最小化工业事故,评估企业的预防因素和策略的优先级至关重要,因为这种评估为预防工业事故和维护安全管理提供了决定性的信息。因此,本文提出了通过因果模型中的因果分析对预防因素进行统计检验来评估优先级。提出了优先级矩阵标准,以应用排名和问卷结果的客观性。本文使用回归方法(RA)、指数平滑方法(ESM)、双指数平滑方法(DESM)、自回归综合移动平均(ARIMA)模型和提出的分析函数方法(PAFM)来分析导致准确预测的事故数据趋势。本文对位于韩国中部大都市地区发生过致命事故、员工人数少于 300 人的制造业和建筑业公司的工人和管理人员的问卷结果进行了标准化。最后,为构建第三个工业事故预防计划的安全管理和预测每 10000 人职业事故发生率和职业事故死亡率提供了一种方法。