GNS Science, P.O. Box 30368, Lower Hutt 5040, New Zealand; School of Psychology, Massey University, P.O. Box 756, Wellington 6140, New Zealand.
Risk Anal. 2013 Sep;33(9):1710-27. doi: 10.1111/risa.12014. Epub 2013 Jan 22.
Prior research has found little or no direct link between beliefs about earthquake risk and household preparedness. Furthermore, only limited work has been conducted on how people's beliefs influence the nature and number of preparedness measures adopted. To address this gap, 48 qualitative interviews were undertaken with residents in three urban locations in New Zealand subject to seismic risk. The study aimed to identify the diverse hazard and preparedness-related beliefs people hold and to articulate how these are influenced by public education to encourage preparedness. The study also explored how beliefs and competencies at personal, social, and environmental levels interact to influence people's risk management choices. Three main categories of beliefs were found: hazard beliefs; preparedness beliefs; and personal beliefs. Several salient beliefs found previously to influence the preparedness process were confirmed by this study, including beliefs related to earthquakes being an inevitable and imminent threat, self-efficacy, outcome expectancy, personal responsibility, responsibility for others, and beliefs related to denial, fatalism, normalization bias, and optimistic bias. New salient beliefs were also identified (e.g., preparedness being a "way of life"), as well as insight into how some of these beliefs interact within the wider informational and societal context.
先前的研究发现,地震风险观念与家庭备灾之间几乎没有直接联系。此外,关于人们的观念如何影响所采取的备灾措施的性质和数量,这方面的研究工作十分有限。为了弥补这一空白,对新西兰三个面临地震风险的城市地区的 48 名居民进行了 48 次定性访谈。这项研究旨在确定人们持有的各种与灾害和备灾有关的观念,并说明这些观念如何受到公共教育的影响,以鼓励人们做好备灾工作。该研究还探讨了个人、社会和环境各级的观念和能力如何相互作用,影响人们的风险管理选择。研究发现了三类主要的观念:灾害观念;备灾观念;个人观念。本研究证实了先前发现的一些会影响备灾过程的重要观念,包括与地震是不可避免的、迫在眉睫的威胁、自我效能、结果预期、个人责任、对他人的责任以及与否认、宿命论、常态偏差和乐观偏差有关的观念。本研究还确定了一些新的重要观念(例如,备灾是一种“生活方式”),并深入了解了这些观念在更广泛的信息和社会背景下是如何相互作用的。