West Midlands Perinatal Institute, Birmingham B6 5RQ, UK.
BMJ. 2013 Jan 24;346:f108. doi: 10.1136/bmj.f108.
To assess the main risk factors associated with stillbirth in a multiethnic English maternity population.
Cohort study.
National Health Service region in England.
92,218 normally formed singletons including 389 stillbirths from 24 weeks of gestation, delivered during 2009-11.
Risk of stillbirth.
Multivariable analysis identified a significant risk of stillbirth for parity (para 0 and para ≥ 3), ethnicity (African, African-Caribbean, Indian, and Pakistani), maternal obesity (body mass index ≥ 30), smoking, pre-existing diabetes, and history of mental health problems, antepartum haemorrhage, and fetal growth restriction (birth weight below 10th customised birthweight centile). As potentially modifiable risk factors, maternal obesity, smoking in pregnancy, and fetal growth restriction together accounted for 56.1% of the stillbirths. Presence of fetal growth restriction constituted the highest risk, and this applied to pregnancies where mothers did not smoke (adjusted relative risk 7.8, 95% confidence interval 6.6 to 10.9), did smoke (5.7, 3.6 to 10.9), and were exposed to passive smoke only (10.0, 6.6 to 15.8). Fetal growth restriction also had the largest population attributable risk for stillbirth and was fivefold greater if it was not detected antenatally than when it was (32.0% v 6.2%). In total, 195 of the 389 stillbirths in this cohort had fetal growth restriction, but in 160 (82%) it had not been detected antenatally. Antenatal recognition of fetal growth restriction resulted in delivery 10 days earlier than when it was not detected: median 270 (interquartile range 261-279) days v 280 (interquartile range 273-287) days. The overall stillbirth rate (per 1000 births) was 4.2, but only 2.4 in pregnancies without fetal growth restriction, increasing to 9.7 with antenatally detected fetal growth restriction and 19.8 when it was not detected.
Most normally formed singleton stillbirths are potentially avoidable. The single largest risk factor is unrecognised fetal growth restriction, and preventive strategies need to focus on improving antenatal detection.
评估多民族英国产科人群中与死产相关的主要危险因素。
队列研究。
英格兰国民保健署区域。
92218 名正常形成的单胎,包括 389 例 24 周后分娩的死产,均于 2009 年至 2011 年期间分娩。
死产风险。
多变量分析确定了死产的显著风险因素包括产次(产次 0 和产次≥3)、种族(非洲、非裔加勒比、印度和巴基斯坦)、母体肥胖(体重指数≥30)、吸烟、孕前糖尿病和精神健康问题史、产前出血和胎儿生长受限(出生体重低于第 10 个定制出生体重百分位数)。作为潜在可改变的危险因素,母体肥胖、妊娠期间吸烟和胎儿生长受限共同导致 56.1%的死产。存在胎儿生长受限构成最高风险,而且这适用于母亲不吸烟(校正相对风险 7.8,95%置信区间 6.6 至 10.9)、吸烟(5.7,3.6 至 10.9)和仅接触被动吸烟(10.0,6.6 至 15.8)的孕妇。胎儿生长受限也是死产的最大人群归因风险,如果在产前未检测到,其风险是检测到的五倍(32.0%比 6.2%)。在该队列的 389 例死产中,有 195 例有胎儿生长受限,但有 160 例(82%)在产前未检测到。产前发现胎儿生长受限可使分娩提前 10 天:中位数 270(四分位距 261-279)天 v 280(四分位距 273-287)天。总的死产率(每 1000 例分娩)为 4.2,但如果没有胎儿生长受限,则只有 2.4,而如果产前发现胎儿生长受限,则增加到 9.7,如果未检测到,则增加到 19.8。
大多数正常形成的单胎死产是可以避免的。最大的单一危险因素是未被识别的胎儿生长受限,预防策略需要集中在改善产前检测上。