Sun Guo-mei, Lu Li-ping, Peng Wen-xiang, Jin Xiao-ping, Hong Jian-jun, Mei Jian, Gao Qian
Key Laboratory of Medical Molecular Virology & Institutes of Biomedical Sciences, Fudan University, Shanghai 200032, China.
Zhonghua Yu Fang Yi Xue Za Zhi. 2012 Oct;46(10):903-7.
To identify spatial distribution and risk factors among tuberculosis (TB) cases in Songjiang district, Shanghai, 2006 - 2009.
All active TB cases and all bacteriologically confirmed TB cases diagnosed during the period from 2006 to 2009 were recruited into the study. Spatial scan statistics were used to identify spatial clusters. Using logistic regression, we compared the demographic and clinical characteristics of TB cases in spatial clusters versus TB cases not in spatial clusters.
A total of 1815 active TB cases and 730 bacteriologically confirmed TB cases were recruited during 2006 - 2009. Chedun township and Xinqiao township was detected to be a spatial cluste (RR = 1.38, LLR = 16.78, P < 0.01), which was the location of the municipal industrial zone. No spatial cluster was found during 2006 - 2007, while during 2008 - 2009 Chedun township was detected to be a spatial cluster (RR = 1.70, LLR = 15.06, P < 0.01). Among resident population, the spatial cluster of TB cases was located in the southwestern part of Songjiang district, which included five townships Xinbang, Shihudang, Xiaokunshan, Maogang and Yongfeng (RR = 1.49, LLR = 10.52, P < 0.01); while among migrant population, the spatial cluster of TB cases was located in Chedun township (RR = 1.55, LLR = 15.64, P < 0.01). There were higher proportions of resident TB cases who were farmers (AOR = 4.9, 95%CI: 1.9 - 12.3) or had other occupations (AOR = 2.6, 95%CI: 1.1 - 5.9) in the spatial cluster. There were higher proportions of migrant TB cases who lived here for less than 5 years (< 1 year: AOR = 5.9, 95%CI: 1.8 - 19.5; 1 - 5 years: AOR = 3.2, 95%CI: 1.0 - 9.9) or worked at other occupations (AOR = 2.8, 95%CI: 1.5 - 5.1) and lower proportions of migrant TB cases who came from Eastern region (AOR = 0.3, 95%CI: 0.1 - 0.8) or Middle region (AOR = 0.5, 95%CI: 0.3 - 0.9) in the spatial cluster.
In Songjiang district there was a spatial cluster in TB cases, which was Chedun township. Local residents with TB who were farmers or had other occupations were more likely to be in the spatial cluster. Migrants with TB who lived here for less than 5 years or came from Western region were more likely to be in the spatial cluster.
确定2006 - 2009年上海市松江区结核病病例的空间分布及危险因素。
纳入2006年至2009年期间诊断的所有活动性结核病病例和所有经细菌学确诊的结核病病例。采用空间扫描统计方法识别空间聚集区。运用逻辑回归,比较空间聚集区内结核病病例与非空间聚集区内结核病病例的人口统计学和临床特征。
2006 - 2009年共纳入1815例活动性结核病病例和730例经细菌学确诊的结核病病例。车墩镇和新桥镇被检测为一个空间聚集区(相对危险度RR = 1.38,对数似然比LLR = 16.78,P < 0.01),该区域为市级工业区所在地。2006 - 2007年未发现空间聚集区,而在2008 - 2009年,车墩镇被检测为一个空间聚集区(RR = 1.70,LLR = 15.06,P < 0.01)。在常住人口中,结核病病例的空间聚集区位于松江区西南部,包括新浜、石湖荡、小昆山、泖港和永丰五个镇(RR = 1.49,LLR = 10.52,P < 0.01);而在流动人口中,结核病病例的空间聚集区位于车墩镇(RR = 1.55,LLR = 15.64,P < 0.01)。在空间聚集区内,常住结核病病例中农民(调整后比值比AOR = 4.9,95%可信区间CI:1.9 - 12.3)或从事其他职业者(AOR = 2.6,95%CI:1.1 - 5.9)的比例较高。在空间聚集区内,流动结核病病例中在此居住不足5年者(< 1年:AOR = 5.9,95%CI:1.8 - 19.5;1 - 5年:AOR = 3.2,95%CI:1.0 - 9.9)或从事其他职业者(AOR = 2.8,95%CI:1.5 - 5.1)的比例较高,而来自东部地区(AOR = 0.3,95%CI:0.1 - 0.8)或中部地区(AOR = 0.5,95%CI:0.3 - 0.9)的流动结核病病例比例较低。
松江区结核病病例存在空间聚集区,即车墩镇。患有结核病的当地居民中农民或从事其他职业者更有可能处于该空间聚集区。患有结核病且在此居住不足5年或来自西部地区的流动人口更有可能处于该空间聚集区。