Department of Construction Management and Hang Lung Center for Real Estate, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, People's Republic of China.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2013 Apr 2;110(14):E1248-53. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1209247110. Epub 2013 Mar 18.
Megacity growth in the developing world is fueled by a desire to access their large local labor markets. Growing megacities suffer from high levels of traffic congestion and pollution, which degrade local quality of life. Transportation technology that allows individuals to access the megacity without living within its boundaries offers potentially large social benefits, because individuals can enjoy the benefits of urban agglomeration while not paying megacity real estate rents and suffering from the city's social costs. This paper presents evidence supporting the claim that China's bullet trains are playing this role. The bullet train is regarded as one of the most significant technological breakthroughs in passenger transportation developed in the second half of the 20th century. Starting in 2007, China has introduced several new bullet trains that connect megacities such as Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangzhou with nearby cities. Through facilitating market integration, bullet trains will stimulate the development of second- and third-tier cities. By offering households and firms a larger menu of location alternatives, bullet trains help to protect the quality of life of the growing urban population. We document that this transport innovation is associated with rising real estate prices in the nearby secondary cities.
发展中国家的特大城市增长是由对进入其庞大本地劳动力市场的渴望所驱动的。不断发展的特大城市饱受交通拥堵和污染之苦,这些问题降低了当地的生活质量。能够让个人在不居住在特大城市边界内的情况下进入特大城市的交通技术带来了潜在的巨大社会效益,因为个人可以在不支付特大城市房地产租金和承受城市社会成本的情况下享受城市集聚的好处。本文提供了支持中国高铁正在发挥这一作用的证据。高铁被认为是 20 世纪后半叶在客运领域取得的最重大技术突破之一。自 2007 年以来,中国已经推出了几条新的高铁,将北京、上海和广州等特大城市与附近城市连接起来。通过促进市场一体化,高铁将刺激二线和三线城市的发展。高铁为家庭和企业提供了更多的位置选择,有助于保护不断增长的城市人口的生活质量。我们记录到,这种交通创新与附近二线城市的房地产价格上涨有关。