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孟加拉国风湿性心脏病的危险因素:一项病例对照研究。

Risk factors of rheumatic heart disease in Bangladesh: a case-control study.

作者信息

Riaz Baizid Khoorshid, Selim Shahjada, Karim Md Nazmul, Chowdhury Kamrun Nahar, Chowdhury Shahabul Huda, Rahman Md Ridwanur

机构信息

Prince Minister's Office, Dhaka, Bangladesh.

出版信息

J Health Popul Nutr. 2013 Mar;31(1):70-7. doi: 10.3329/jhpn.v31i1.14751.

Abstract

Not all cases of rheumatic fever (RF) end up as rheumatic heart disease (RHD). The fact raises the possibility of existence of a subgroup with characteristics that prevent RF patients from developing the RHD. The present study aimed at exploring the risk factors among patients with RHD. The study assessed the risk of RHD among people both with and without RF. In total, 103 consecutive RHD patients were recruited as cases who reported to the National Centre for Control of Rheumatic Fever and Heart Disease, Dhaka, Bangladesh. Of 309 controls, 103 were RF patients selected from the same centre, and the remaining 206 controls were selected from Shaheed Suhrawardy Medical College Hospital, who got admitted for other non-cardiac ailments. RHD was confirmed by auscultation and colour Doppler echocardiography. RF was diagnosed based on the modified Jones criteria. An unadjusted odds ratio was generated for each variable, with 95% confidence interval (CI), and only significant factors were considered candidate for multivariate analysis. Three separate binary logistic regression models were generated to assess the risk factors of RF, risk factors of RHD compared to non-rheumatic control patients, and risk factors of RHD compared to control with RF. RF and RHD shared almost a similar set of risk factors in the population. In general, age over 19 years was found to be protective of RF; however, age of the majority (62.1%) of the RHD cases was over 19 years. Women [odds ratio (OR) = 2.2, 95% CI 1.1-4.3], urban resident (OR = 3.1, 95% CI 1.2-8.4), dwellers in brick-built house (OR = 3.6, 95% CI 1.6-8.1), having > 2 siblings (OR = 3.1, 95% CI 1.5- 6.3), offspring of working mothers (OR = 7.6, 95% CI 2.0-24.2), illiterate mother (OR = 2.6, 95% CI 1.2-5.8), and those who did not brush after taking meals (OR = 2.5, 95% CI 1.0-6.3) were more likely to develop RF. However, more than 5 members in a family showed a reduced risk of RF. RHD shared almost a similar set of factors in general. More than three people sharing a room also showed an increased risk of RHD (OR = 1.9, 95% CI 1.0-3.4), in addition to the risk factors of RF. Multivariate model also assessed the factors that may perpetuate RHD among RF patients. Overcrowding (OR = 2.4, 95% CI 1.2-4.7) and illiteracy (OR = 2.4, 95% CI 1.1-5.2) posed the risk of RHD in the RF patients. The study did not find new factors that might pose an increased risk, rather looked for the documented risk factors and how these operate in the population of Bangladesh.

摘要

并非所有风湿热(RF)病例最终都会发展为风湿性心脏病(RHD)。这一事实增加了存在一个具有某些特征的亚组的可能性,这些特征可使RF患者不发展为RHD。本研究旨在探索RHD患者中的危险因素。该研究评估了有RF和无RF人群中RHD的风险。总共招募了103例连续的RHD患者作为病例组,他们均前往孟加拉国达卡的国家风湿热和心脏病控制中心就诊。在309例对照组中,103例是从同一中心选取的RF患者,其余206例对照组是从谢赫·苏赫拉瓦迪医学院医院选取的,这些患者因其他非心脏疾病入院。通过听诊和彩色多普勒超声心动图确诊RHD。根据改良的琼斯标准诊断RF。对每个变量生成未调整的比值比及95%置信区间(CI),仅将显著因素视为多变量分析的候选因素。生成了三个独立的二元逻辑回归模型,以评估RF的危险因素、与非风湿性对照患者相比RHD的危险因素以及与RF对照相比RHD的危险因素。在该人群中,RF和RHD几乎有一组相似的危险因素。总体而言,发现19岁以上的年龄对RF有保护作用;然而,大多数(62.1%)RHD病例的年龄超过19岁。女性[比值比(OR)=2.2,95%CI 1.1 - 4.3]、城市居民(OR = 3.1,95%CI 1.2 - 8.4)、居住在砖房中的居民(OR = 3.6,95%CI 1.6 - 8.1)、有超过2个兄弟姐妹(OR = 3.1,95%CI 1.5 - 6.3)、母亲有工作的子女(OR = 7.6,95%CI 2.0 - 24.2)、文盲母亲(OR = 2.6,95%CI 1.2 - 5.8)以及饭后不刷牙的人(OR = 2.5,95%CI 1.0 - 6.3)更易患RF。然而,家庭中超过5人显示患RF的风险降低。总体而言,RHD几乎有一组相似的因素。除了RF的危险因素外,超过三人合住一个房间也显示RHD风险增加(OR = 1.9,95%CI 1.0 - 3.4)。多变量模型还评估了可能使RF患者中RHD持续存在的因素。拥挤(OR = 2.4,95%CI 1.2 - 4.7)和文盲(OR = 2.4,95%CI 1.1 - 5.2)使RF患者有患RHD的风险。该研究未发现可能增加风险的新因素,而是寻找已记录的危险因素以及这些因素在孟加拉国人群中的作用方式。

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