Department of Psychology, University of Minnesota.
J Appl Psychol. 2013 Nov;98(6):1060-72. doi: 10.1037/a0034156. Epub 2013 Sep 16.
In employee selection and academic admission decisions, holistic (clinical) data combination methods continue to be relied upon and preferred by practitioners in our field. This meta-analysis examined and compared the relative predictive power of mechanical methods versus holistic methods in predicting multiple work (advancement, supervisory ratings of performance, and training performance) and academic (grade point average) criteria. There was consistent and substantial loss of validity when data were combined holistically-even by experts who are knowledgeable about the jobs and organizations in question-across multiple criteria in work and academic settings. In predicting job performance, the difference between the validity of mechanical and holistic data combination methods translated into an improvement in prediction of more than 50%. Implications for evidence-based practice are discussed.
在员工选拔和学术录取决策中,整体(临床)数据组合方法继续受到我们领域从业者的依赖和青睐。本元分析检查并比较了机械方法与整体方法在预测多项工作(晋升、监督绩效评级和培训绩效)和学术(平均绩点)标准方面的相对预测能力。在工作和学术环境中,即使是对相关工作和组织有深入了解的专家,对多项标准进行整体数据组合时,有效性也会持续且大幅降低。在预测工作绩效方面,机械数据组合方法和整体数据组合方法之间的有效性差异转化为预测能力提高了 50%以上。讨论了对循证实践的影响。