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原发性脑出血患者临床预测评分的验证。

Validation of clinical prediction scores in patients with primary intracerebral hemorrhage.

机构信息

Department of Emergency Medicine, Baylor University Medical Center, 3500 Gaston Avenue, Dallas, TX, 75246, USA,

出版信息

Neurocrit Care. 2013 Dec;19(3):329-35. doi: 10.1007/s12028-013-9926-y.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Initial reports of the FUNC score suggest that it may accurately identify those patients suffering from intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) with an ultra low chance of functional neurologic recovery. This study's aim is to validate the FUNC score and determine if it accurately identifies the cohort of patients with an ultra low chance of survival with good neurologic recovery.

METHODS

Retrospective review of 501 consecutive primary ICH patients admitted from the Emergency Department to a large healthcare system. Performance of the FUNC, ICH-GS, and oICH scores was determined by calculating areas under the receiver-operator-characteristic curves. Patients with a predicted 100 % chance of poor neurologic outcome (PNO) (FUNC <4 and ICH-GS >10) scores were evaluated to determine if DNR impacted 90 day survival or rate of survival with a Glasgow Outcome Score of <3.

RESULTS

In 366 cases of primary ICH who presented during the study period, 222(61 %) survived to discharge. Both the FUNC (AUC: 0.873) and ICH-GS (AUC: 0.888) outperformed the oICH (AUC: 0.743) in predicting 90-day mortality (p = <0.001). Of 68 patients with a FUNC score <4, 67 (98.5 %) had PNO at discharge. The presence of DNR was not associated with a significant difference in the rate of PNO at discharge (40/40 = 100 % vs. 27/28 = 96.4 % p = 0.42) or 90-day mortality (40/40 = 100 % vs. 21/28 = 75 %, p = 0.06).

CONCLUSION

The FUNC and ICH-GS appear superior to the oICH in predicting outcome in patients with primary ICH. In addition, the FUNC score appears to accurately identify patients with low chance of functional neurologic recovery at discharge.

摘要

背景

FUNC 评分的初步报告表明,它可能能够准确识别那些患有颅内出血(ICH)且功能神经恢复机会极低的患者。本研究旨在验证 FUNC 评分,并确定其是否能够准确识别出生存率高且神经功能恢复良好的超低机会患者群体。

方法

对从急诊室入院的 501 例连续原发性 ICH 患者进行回顾性研究,这些患者均来自于一个大型医疗系统。通过计算接受者操作特征曲线下的面积来确定 FUNC、ICH-GS 和 oICH 评分的性能。评估预测 100%不良神经结局(PNO)(FUNC<4 和 ICH-GS>10)患者的 DNR 是否会影响 90 天生存率或格拉斯哥结局评分<3 的生存率。

结果

在研究期间出现的 366 例原发性 ICH 病例中,有 222 例(61%)存活至出院。FUNC(AUC:0.873)和 ICH-GS(AUC:0.888)在预测 90 天死亡率方面均优于 oICH(AUC:0.743)(p<0.001)。在 FUNC 评分<4 的 68 例患者中,67 例(98.5%)在出院时患有 PNO。是否存在 DNR 与出院时 PNO 发生率(40/40=100%与 27/28=96.4%,p=0.42)或 90 天死亡率(40/40=100%与 21/28=75%,p=0.06)均无显著差异。

结论

FUNC 和 ICH-GS 在预测原发性 ICH 患者结局方面优于 oICH。此外,FUNC 评分似乎能够准确识别出院时功能神经恢复机会低的患者。

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