Barakat Hashem M, Shahin Yousef, Barnes Rachel, Chetter Ian, McCollum Peter
Academic Vascular Surgical Unit, University of Hull and Hull York Medical School, Hull, UK.
Academic Vascular Surgical Unit, University of Hull and Hull York Medical School, Hull, UK.
Ann Vasc Surg. 2014 Jan;28(1):80-6. doi: 10.1016/j.avsg.2013.07.006. Epub 2013 Nov 5.
The purpose of this study was to evaluate morbidity, mortality, and survival in octogenarians undergoing open repair of ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms (RAAAs) in comparison to younger patients.
This investigation was a retrospective analysis of a prospectively maintained database from a tertiary referral center. We included all consecutive RAAA patients who underwent open repair from 1990 to 2011. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to identify predictors of inferior short- and long-term outcomes.
Overall, 463 patients were identified, of whom 138 (30%) were octogenarians (group 2), with a mean age of 84 ± 0.47 years. There were 96 (69%) men and 42 women (31%). There were more women in group 2 (31%) compared with the <80-year-old patients of group 1 (14%) (P < 0.001). The 30-day mortality for group 2 was 43.5% compared with 28.0% for group 1 (P < 0.001). Preoperatively, 63% of group 1 patients presented with shock compared with 65% of those in group 2 (P = 0.751). There was no difference between the two groups in terms of preoperative systolic blood pressure (SBP), duration of operation, and intraoperative blood loss (P > 0.05). Median preoperative hemoglobin (P < 0.001) and creatinine (P = 0.031) levels were significantly different between the groups. There was no significant difference between the two groups in terms of postoperative complications and length of hospital stay. Median long-term survival for octogenarians (group 2) was 5.4 years compared with 12.4 years for the younger patient group (group 1) (P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis identified age as an independent predictor of 30-day mortality (odds ratio [OR] = 1.154, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.037-1.285) and inferior long-term survival (OR = 1.074, 95% CI 1.011-1.141). History of cigarette smoking also predicted worse long-term outcomes (OR = 3.044, 95% CI 1.318-7.032) as did multiorgan failure in the postoperative course (OR = 1.363, 95% CI 1.080-14.130).
Advanced age is associated with high surgical mortality; however, for octogenarians surviving surgical repair, long-term outcome is acceptable. Therefore, with responsible decision-making, surgical intervention is justifiable in the elderly. Smoking and multiorgan failure were both predictive of worse survival.
本研究的目的是评估与年轻患者相比,接受破裂腹主动脉瘤(RAAA)开放修复术的八旬老人的发病率、死亡率和生存率。
本研究是对一家三级转诊中心前瞻性维护数据库的回顾性分析。我们纳入了1990年至2011年期间所有接受开放修复术的连续性RAAA患者。采用单因素和多因素分析来确定短期和长期不良结局的预测因素。
总体而言,共确定了463例患者,其中138例(30%)为八旬老人(第2组),平均年龄为84±0.47岁。男性96例(69%),女性42例(31%)。第2组女性比例(31%)高于第1组<80岁患者(14%)(P<0.001)。第2组的30天死亡率为43.5%,而第1组为28.0%(P<0.001)。术前,第1组63%的患者出现休克,第2组为65%(P = 0.751)。两组在术前收缩压(SBP)、手术时间和术中失血量方面无差异(P>0.05)。两组术前血红蛋白中位数(P<0.001)和肌酐(P = 0.031)水平存在显著差异。两组在术后并发症和住院时间方面无显著差异。八旬老人(第2组)的长期生存中位数为5.4年,而年轻患者组(第1组)为12.4年(P<0.001)。多因素分析确定年龄是30天死亡率(优势比[OR]=1.154,95%置信区间[CI]1.037 - 1.285)和长期生存不良(OR = 1.074,95%CI 1.011 - 1.141)的独立预测因素。吸烟史也预示着更差的长期结局(OR = 3.044,95%CI 1.318 - 7.032),术后多器官功能衰竭同样如此(OR = 1.363,95%CI 1.080 - 14.130)。
高龄与高手术死亡率相关;然而,对于手术修复后存活的八旬老人,长期结局是可以接受的。因此,经过合理决策,手术干预对老年人是合理的。吸烟和多器官功能衰竭均预示着较差的生存率。