[下诺曼底地区的妇科与产科：15年的人口统计学视角]
[Gynaecology and obstetrics in Basse-Normandy: demographic perspectives in 15 years].
作者信息
Mandon M, Macé J-M, Dreyfus M, Berger L
机构信息
Service de gynécologie-obstétrique et médecine de la reproduction, CHU de Caen, avenue de la Côte-de-Nacre, 14000 Caen, France.
Département ville, échanges et territoires, conservatoire national des arts et métiers, 75003 Paris, France.
出版信息
J Gynecol Obstet Biol Reprod (Paris). 2015 Jan;44(1):34-40. doi: 10.1016/j.jgyn.2013.10.009. Epub 2013 Nov 14.
OBJECTIVES
The French population is growing and ageing. In this context, it is important to consider the future of gynecologists and obstetricians in Basse-Normandie. The aim of this study was to perform an overview of the demographics of practitioners and estimate the retirements. We also try to project the need of trainees for the next years.
MATERIALS AND METHODS
We conducted a demographic and workload survey among 142 practitioners and 35 trainees. We detailed retirements and arrivals of this population.
RESULTS
By 2025, nearly two-thirds of practitioners in 2012 will retire, including 100% of medical gynecologists. Otherwise, there will be a lack of 1 to 2 practitioners per year. We also noted the tendance of feminization (86%) and the wish of a multi-practice in public hospital (86%).
CONCLUSION
A reflection about the health planning will be necessary in order to answer the demographics difficulty in the region. We will have to take into account the future retirements and also the specific situations in each area.
目标
法国人口正在增长且老龄化。在此背景下，考虑下诺曼底地区妇产科医生的未来很重要。本研究的目的是对从业者的人口统计学进行概述并估计退休情况。我们还试图预测未来几年对实习生的需求。
材料与方法
我们对142名从业者和35名实习生进行了人口统计学和工作量调查。我们详细记录了这群人的退休和入职情况。
结果
到2025年，2012年近三分之二的从业者将退休，其中包括100%的妇科医生。否则，每年将缺少1至2名从业者。我们还注意到女性化趋势（86%）以及在公立医院从事多种业务的意愿（86%）。
结论
有必要对卫生规划进行反思，以应对该地区的人口统计学难题。我们必须考虑到未来的退休情况以及每个地区的具体情况。
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