Gotoh Seiji, Hata Jun, Ninomiya Toshiharu, Hirakawa Yoichiro, Nagata Masaharu, Mukai Naoko, Fukuhara Masayo, Ikeda Fumie, Shikata Kentaro, Kamouchi Masahiro, Kitazono Takanari, Kiyohara Yutaka
Department of Environmental Medicine, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University.
Circ J. 2014;78(2):403-9. doi: 10.1253/circj.cj-13-0811. Epub 2013 Nov 23.
No previous population-based studies have examined secular trends in the incidence of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) by its location.
We established 3 cohorts consisting of residents of Hisayama, Japan, aged ≥40 years without a history of stroke or myocardial infarction in 1961 (the first cohort, n=1,618), in 1974 (the second cohort, n=2,038), and in 1988 (the third cohort, n=2,637). Each cohort was followed for 13 years. The age- and sex-adjusted incidence of ICH significantly declined from the first to the second cohort and showed no further change in the third cohort. With regard to the ICH location, the incidence of putaminal hemorrhage decreased steadily, mainly in subjects aged 60-69 years, whereas the incidence of thalamic hemorrhage increased, especially in those aged ≥70 years. Both hypertension and alcohol intake were strong risk factors for ICH in the first cohort, but their influence declined with time. Blood pressure levels in hypertensive subjects decreased significantly, and the proportion of current drinkers decreased slightly over the study period.
Our findings suggest that the ICH incidence steeply declined from the 1960s to the 1970s in Japan as a result of the reduced influence of hypertension and alcohol intake, but that this decline has leveled off since then, probably because of the increased incidence of thalamic hemorrhage in the elderly in recent years.
既往尚无基于人群的研究按脑出血(ICH)部位分析其发病率的长期趋势。
我们建立了3个队列,分别由1961年(第一队列,n = 1618)、1974年(第二队列,n = 2038)和1988年(第三队列,n = 2637)时年龄≥40岁且无卒中或心肌梗死病史的日本久山居民组成。每个队列随访13年。从第一队列到第二队列,年龄和性别调整后的ICH发病率显著下降,第三队列未显示进一步变化。关于ICH部位,壳核出血的发病率稳步下降,主要发生在60 - 69岁的人群中,而丘脑出血的发病率增加,尤其是在70岁及以上的人群中。高血压和饮酒在第一队列中都是ICH的强危险因素,但它们的影响随时间下降。高血压患者的血压水平显著下降,在研究期间,当前饮酒者的比例略有下降。
我们的研究结果表明,由于高血压和饮酒影响的降低,日本从20世纪60年代到70年代ICH发病率急剧下降,但此后这种下降趋于平稳,可能是因为近年来老年人丘脑出血的发病率增加。