Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, 60 Haven Avenue, New York, NY, 10032, USA,
Demography. 2014 Apr;51(2):387-411. doi: 10.1007/s13524-013-0268-3.
Estimates of adult mortality in countries with limited vital registration (e.g., sub-Saharan Africa) are often derived from information about the survival of a respondent's siblings. We evaluated the completeness and accuracy of such data through a record linkage study conducted in Bandafassi, located in southeastern Senegal. We linked at the individual level retrospective siblings' survival histories (SSH) reported by female respondents (n = 268) to prospective mortality data and genealogies collected through a health and demographic surveillance system (HDSS). Respondents often reported inaccurate lists of siblings. Additions to these lists were uncommon, but omissions were frequent: respondents omitted 3.8 % of their live sisters, 9.1 % of their deceased sisters, and 16.6 % of their sisters who had migrated out of the DSS area. Respondents underestimated the age at death of the siblings they reported during the interview, particularly among siblings who had died at older ages (≥45 years). Restricting SSH data to person-years and events having occurred during a recent reference period reduced list errors but not age and date errors. Overall, SSH data led to a 20 % underestimate of 45 q 15 relative to HDSS data. Our study suggests new quality improvement strategies for SSH data and demonstrates the potential use of HDSS data for the validation of "unconventional" demographic techniques.
在人口生命登记制度有限的国家(例如撒哈拉以南非洲地区),成年人死亡率的估算通常是根据受访者兄弟姐妹的生存状况信息推算得出的。我们在塞内加尔东南部的班达法西开展了一项记录关联研究,旨在评估此类数据的完整性和准确性。我们将 268 名女性受访者提供的回溯性兄弟姐妹生存史(SSH)的个体层面信息与通过健康和人口监测系统(HDSS)收集的前瞻性死亡率数据和系谱关联起来。受访者提供的兄弟姐妹名单常常不准确。虽然很少会增加或删除兄弟姐妹的名单,但遗漏的情况却很常见:受访者漏报了 3.8%的在世姐妹、9.1%的已故姐妹和 16.6%的已迁出监测区的姐妹。受访者在访谈中还低估了所报告兄弟姐妹的死亡年龄,特别是在那些年龄较大(≥45 岁)去世的兄弟姐妹中。将 SSH 数据限制在近期参考期内的人年和事件中,虽然减少了名单错误,但并没有减少年龄和日期错误。总体而言,SSH 数据导致 45 岁以下人群的死亡率比 HDSS 数据低 20%。我们的研究为 SSH 数据提出了新的质量改进策略,并展示了 HDSS 数据在验证“非传统”人口技术方面的潜在用途。