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你被陷害了!信息需求的前因如何调节风险沟通信息的效果。

You have been framed! How antecedents of information need mediate the effects of risk communication messages.

作者信息

Terpstra T, Zaalberg R, de Boer J, Botzen W J W

机构信息

HKV Consultants, 8203 AC, Lelystad, the Netherlands.

出版信息

Risk Anal. 2014 Aug;34(8):1506-20. doi: 10.1111/risa.12181. Epub 2014 Mar 4.

Abstract

This study investigates the processes that mediate the effects of framing flood risks on people's information needs. Insight into the effects of risk frames is important for developing balanced risk communication that explains both risks and benefits of living near water. The research was inspired by the risk information seeking and processing model and related models. In a web-based survey, respondents (n = 1,457) were randomly assigned to one of three communication frames or a control frame (experimental conditions). Each frame identically explained flood risk and additionally refined the message by emphasizing climate change, the quality of flood risk management, or the amenities of living near water. We tested the extent to which risk perceptions, trust, and affective responses mediate the framing effects on information need. As expected, the frames on average resulted in higher information need than the control frame. Attempts to lower fear appeal by stressing safety or amenities instead of climate change were marginally successful, a phenomenon that is known as a "negativity bias." Framing effects were mediated by negative attributes (risk perception and negative affect) but not by positive attributes (trust and positive affect). This finding calls for theoretical refinement. Practically, communication messages will be more effective when they stimulate risk perceptions and evoke negative affect. However, arousal of fear may have unwanted side effects. For instance, fear arousal could lead to lower levels of trust in risk management among citizens. Regular monitoring of citizens' attitudes is important to prevent extreme levels of distrust or cynicism.

摘要

本研究调查了那些介导洪水风险框架对人们信息需求影响的过程。深入了解风险框架的影响对于开展平衡的风险沟通至关重要,这种沟通既要解释生活在水域附近的风险,也要说明其益处。该研究受到风险信息搜寻与处理模型及相关模型的启发。在一项基于网络的调查中,受访者(n = 1457)被随机分配到三个沟通框架之一或一个控制框架(实验条件)。每个框架都同样地解释了洪水风险,并通过强调气候变化、洪水风险管理质量或生活在水域附近的便利设施来进一步完善信息。我们测试了风险认知、信任和情感反应在多大程度上介导了框架对信息需求的影响。正如预期的那样,这些框架平均而言比控制框架导致了更高的信息需求。通过强调安全或便利设施而非气候变化来降低恐惧诉求的尝试取得了些许成功,这一现象被称为“负面偏差”。框架效应由负面属性(风险认知和负面情绪)介导,而非由正面属性(信任和正面情绪)介导。这一发现需要理论上的完善。实际上,当沟通信息激发风险认知并引发负面情绪时,它们会更有效。然而,引发恐惧可能会产生不良副作用。例如,恐惧的引发可能导致公民对风险管理的信任度降低。定期监测公民的态度对于防止极端程度的不信任或愤世嫉俗情绪很重要。

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