Kung Chih-Chun, McCarl Bruce A, Chen Chi-Chung
Institute of Poyang Lake Eco-economics, Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, Nanchang 330013, China.
Department of Agricultural Economics, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77843, USA.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2014 Mar 11;11(3):2973-91. doi: 10.3390/ijerph110302973.
Taiwan suffers from energy insecurity and the threat of potential damage from global climate changes. Finding ways to alleviate these forces is the key to Taiwan's future social and economic development. This study examines the economic and environmental impacts when ethanol, conventional electricity and pyrolysis-based electricity are available alternatives. Biochar, as one of the most important by-product from pyrolysis, has the potential to provide significant environmental benefits. Therefore, alternative uses of biochar are also examined in this study. In addition, because planting energy crops would change the current land use pattern, resulting in significant land greenhouse gases (GHG) emissions, this important factor is also incorporated. Results show that bioenergy production can satisfy part of Taiwan's energy demand, but net GHG emissions offset declines if ethanol is chosen. Moreover, at high GHG price conventional electricity and ethanol will be driven out and pyrolysis will be a dominant technology. Fast pyrolysis dominates when ethanol and GHG prices are low, but slow pyrolysis is dominant at high GHG price, especially when land GHG emissions are endogenously incorporated. The results indicate that when land GHG emission is incorporated, up to 3.8 billion kWh electricity can be produced from fast pyrolysis, while up to 2.2 million tons of CO2 equivalent can be offset if slow pyrolysis is applied.
台湾面临能源不安全问题以及全球气候变化带来的潜在破坏威胁。找到缓解这些因素的方法是台湾未来社会和经济发展的关键。本研究考察了乙醇、传统电力和热解发电作为可替代能源时的经济和环境影响。生物炭作为热解最重要的副产品之一,具有显著的环境效益潜力。因此,本研究还考察了生物炭的其他用途。此外,由于种植能源作物会改变当前的土地利用模式,导致大量土地温室气体(GHG)排放,这一重要因素也被纳入考量。结果表明,生物能源生产可以满足台湾部分能源需求,但如果选择乙醇,温室气体净排放抵消量会下降。此外,在温室气体价格较高时,传统电力和乙醇将被淘汰,热解将成为主导技术。当乙醇和温室气体价格较低时,快速热解占主导,但在温室气体价格较高时,慢速热解占主导,尤其是当土地温室气体排放被内生纳入时。结果表明,当纳入土地温室气体排放时,快速热解可产生高达38亿千瓦时的电力,而如果采用慢速热解,可抵消高达220万吨二氧化碳当量。