Wang Jinliang, Pang Jingmei, Liu Xianning
a School of Mathematics and Statistics , Southwest University , Chongqing 400715 , People's Republic of China.
J Biol Dyn. 2014;8(1):99-116. doi: 10.1080/17513758.2014.912682.
In this paper, we introduce a basic reproduction number for a multi-group SIR model with general relapse distribution and nonlinear incidence rate. We find that basic reproduction number plays the role of a key threshold in establishing the global dynamics of the model. By means of appropriate Lyapunov functionals, a subtle grouping technique in estimating the derivatives of Lyapunov functionals guided by graph-theoretical approach and LaSalle invariance principle, it is proven that if it is less than or equal to one, the disease-free equilibrium is globally stable and the disease dies out; whereas if it is larger than one, some sufficient condition is obtained in ensuring that there is a unique endemic equilibrium which is globally stable and thus the disease persists in the population. Furthermore, our results suggest that general relapse distribution are not the reason of sustained oscillations. Biologically, our model might be realistic for sexually transmitted diseases, such as Herpes, Condyloma acuminatum, etc.
在本文中,我们针对具有一般复发分布和非线性发病率的多组SIR模型引入了一个基本再生数。我们发现基本再生数在建立该模型的全局动力学中起着关键阈值的作用。通过适当的李雅普诺夫泛函、在图论方法和拉萨尔不变性原理指导下估计李雅普诺夫泛函导数的精细分组技术,证明了如果基本再生数小于或等于1,则无病平衡点是全局稳定的且疾病会消亡;而如果它大于1,则在确保存在唯一的全局稳定的地方病平衡点从而疾病在种群中持续存在方面获得了一些充分条件。此外,我们的结果表明一般复发分布不是持续振荡的原因。从生物学角度来看,我们的模型对于性传播疾病,如疱疹、尖锐湿疣等可能是现实可行的。