Suetomo Masashi, Kawayama Tomotaka, Kinoshita Takashi, Takenaka Shinichi, Matsuoka Masanobu, Matsunaga Kazuko, Hoshino Tomoaki
Division of Respirology, Neurology, and Rheumatology, Department of Medicine, Kurume University School of Medicine, 67 Asahimachi, Kurume 830-0011, Japan; Respiratory Medicine, Chikugo City Hospital, 917-1 Izumi, Chikugo 833-0041, Japan.
Division of Respirology, Neurology, and Rheumatology, Department of Medicine, Kurume University School of Medicine, 67 Asahimachi, Kurume 830-0011, Japan.
Respir Investig. 2014 Sep;52(5):288-95. doi: 10.1016/j.resinv.2014.04.004. Epub 2014 Jun 16.
Guidelines recommend chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) assessment tests (CATs) for evaluation of symptoms and management risks. To investigate whether CAT can predict moderate or severe exacerbations in Japanese COPD patients, a single-blinded prospective study was performed.
A 123 Japanese COPD patients were classified into high-CAT (n=64) and low-CAT (n=59) groups. The frequencies and periods of moderate or severe exacerbation and hospitalization were compared between the two groups. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to investigate whether CAT could predict exacerbations. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was employed to find an appropriate CAT score for exacerbation.
The high-CAT group was significantly older, had a lower body mass index, and had a lower airflow obstruction as compared to the low CAT group. The frequency of moderate or severe exacerbation (1.3±1.3 events per patient per year, p<0.0001) and hospitalizations (0.2±0.4, p=0.0202) in the high-CAT group was significantly higher than in the low-CAT group (0.4±0.7 and 0.0±0.1, respectively). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that both high CAT score and low airflow obstruction were independently predictive of frequent moderate or severe COPD exacerbation. ROC analysis showed that the best cut-off CAT score for moderate or severe COPD exacerbation was 8 points.
Our present results indicate that COPD Japanese patients showing high CAT scores have a poor prognosis, and that the CAT score is able to predict exacerbation in Japanese COPD.
指南推荐使用慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)评估测试(CAT)来评估症状和管理风险。为了调查CAT是否能预测日本COPD患者的中度或重度急性加重,我们进行了一项单盲前瞻性研究。
123例日本COPD患者被分为高CAT组(n = 64)和低CAT组(n = 59)。比较两组中度或重度急性加重和住院的频率及时间。进行多因素逻辑回归分析以调查CAT是否能预测急性加重。采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析来确定预测急性加重的合适CAT分数。
与低CAT组相比,高CAT组年龄显著更大,体重指数更低,气流受限程度更低。高CAT组中度或重度急性加重的频率(每位患者每年1.3±1.3次,p < 0.0001)和住院率(0.2±0.4,p = 0.0202)显著高于低CAT组(分别为0.4±0.7和0.0±0.1)。多因素逻辑回归分析显示,高CAT分数和低气流受限均独立预测频繁的中度或重度COPD急性加重。ROC分析显示,预测中度或重度COPD急性加重的最佳CAT分数截断值为8分。
我们目前的结果表明,CAT分数高的日本COPD患者预后较差,且CAT分数能够预测日本COPD患者的急性加重。