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瑞典一项关于射频场与听神经瘤风险的病例对照研究中自我报告的手机使用起始年份的验证。

Validation of self-reported start year of mobile phone use in a Swedish case-control study on radiofrequency fields and acoustic neuroma risk.

作者信息

Pettersson David, Bottai Matteo, Mathiesen Tiit, Prochazka Michaela, Feychting Maria

机构信息

Unit of Epidemiology, Institute of Environmental Medicine, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.

Unit of Biostatistics, Institute of Environmental Medicine, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.

出版信息

J Expo Sci Environ Epidemiol. 2015 Jan;25(1):72-9. doi: 10.1038/jes.2014.76. Epub 2014 Nov 5.

Abstract

The possible effect of radiofrequency exposure from mobile phones on tumor risk has been studied since the late 1990s. Yet, empirical information about recall of the start of mobile phone use among adult cases and controls has never been reported. Limited knowledge about recall errors hampers interpretations of the epidemiological evidence. We used network operator data to validate the self-reported start year of mobile phone use in a case-control study of mobile phone use and acoustic neuroma risk. The answers of 96 (29%) cases and 111 (22%) controls could be included in the validation. The larger proportion of cases reflects a more complete and detailed reporting of subscription history. Misclassification was substantial, with large random errors, small systematic errors, and no significant differences between cases and controls. The average difference between self-reported and operator start year was -0.62 (95% confidence interval: -1.42, 0.17) years for cases and -0.71 (-1.50, 0.07) years for controls, standard deviations were 3.92 and 4.17 years, respectively. Agreement between self-reported and operator-recorded data categorized into short, intermediate and long-term use was moderate (kappa statistic: 0.42). Should an association exist, dilution of risk estimates and distortion of exposure-response patterns for time since first mobile phone use could result from the large random errors in self-reported start year. Retrospective collection of operator data likely leads to a selection of "good reporters", with a higher proportion of cases. Thus, differential recall cannot be entirely excluded.

摘要

自20世纪90年代末以来,人们一直在研究手机射频辐射对肿瘤风险的可能影响。然而,从未有过关于成年病例和对照中手机使用起始时间回忆的实证信息报道。对回忆误差的了解有限妨碍了对流行病学证据的解读。在一项关于手机使用与听神经瘤风险的病例对照研究中,我们使用网络运营商数据来验证自我报告的手机使用起始年份。96例(29%)病例和111例(22%)对照的回答可纳入验证。病例比例较高反映了订阅历史报告更完整、详细。错误分类很严重,随机误差大,系统误差小,病例和对照之间无显著差异。病例自我报告的起始年份与运营商记录的起始年份平均差值为-0.62年(95%置信区间:-1.42,0.17),对照为-0.71年(-1.50,0.07),标准差分别为3.92年和4.17年。自我报告数据与运营商记录数据按短期、中期和长期使用分类的一致性为中等(kappa统计量:0.42)。如果存在关联,自我报告起始年份的大随机误差可能导致首次使用手机以来风险估计的稀释和暴露-反应模式的扭曲。回顾性收集运营商数据可能导致选择“善于报告者”,病例比例更高。因此,不能完全排除差异回忆的可能性。

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