Cranney Stephen
Population Studies Center, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia.
Perspect Sex Reprod Health. 2015 Jun;47(2):83-9. doi: 10.1363/47e2915. Epub 2015 Feb 13.
Research on the association between religiosity and fertility-and, particularly, on the effects of secularization on fertility desires and outcomes-has been concerned primarily with mechanisms that are fundamentally institutional and are embedded in formal religious structures. Supplementary explanations focused on noninstitutional dimensions of religiosity have never been tested.
Conventional ordinary least-squares regression was used to test the association between belief in God (i.e., a personal God or some sort of life force) and fertility desires among 2,251 women aged 18-45 in Slovenia and 951 women aged 15-44 in the Czech Republic who participated in the European Family and Fertility Survey in the mid-1990s.
In both samples, substantial proportions of women either were nonbelievers or believed in God but were not institutionally religious. Belief in God was independently associated with fertility desires even in analyses controlling for self-reported religiosity. Women who believed in a personal God wanted approximately 0.2 more children, and those who believed in a life force wanted approximately 0.1 more children, than nonbelievers. Results were similar across several alternative measures of religiosity.
At least some of the connection between religiosity and fertility apparently is attributable to metaphysical beliefs. Future research on the effect of secularization on fertility decline should investigate the potentially distinct effects of different dimensions of religiosity.
关于宗教虔诚度与生育之间的关联,尤其是世俗化对生育意愿及生育结果的影响的研究,主要关注的是从根本上属于制度性且嵌入正式宗教结构的机制。侧重于宗教虔诚度非制度维度的补充性解释从未得到检验。
采用传统的普通最小二乘法回归,对斯洛文尼亚2251名年龄在18至45岁之间以及捷克共和国951名年龄在15至44岁之间的女性进行研究,这些女性参与了20世纪90年代中期的欧洲家庭与生育调查,旨在检验对上帝的信仰(即个人化的上帝或某种生命力)与生育意愿之间的关联。
在两个样本中,相当大比例的女性要么是无信仰者,要么信仰上帝但并非宗教机构的成员。即便在控制了自我报告的宗教虔诚度的分析中,对上帝的信仰仍与生育意愿独立相关。与无信仰者相比,信仰个人化上帝的女性想要多生育约0.2个孩子,信仰生命力的女性想要多生育约0.1个孩子。在几种不同的宗教虔诚度衡量标准下,结果相似。
宗教虔诚度与生育之间的至少部分联系显然归因于形而上学的信仰。未来关于世俗化对生育率下降影响的研究应调查宗教虔诚度不同维度可能存在的不同影响。