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用于评估疑似肺栓塞的Wells评分与修订版Geneva评分的比较:一项系统评价和荟萃分析

Comparison of the Wells score with the revised Geneva score for assessing suspected pulmonary embolism: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

作者信息

Shen Jun-Hua, Chen Hong-Lin, Chen Jian-Rong, Xing Jia-Li, Gu Peng, Zhu Bao-Feng

机构信息

Department of Emergency, Nantong First People's Hospital, North Haierxiang Road 6#, Nantong, 226001, Jiangsu, People's Republic of China.

Nantong University, Nantong, People's Republic of China.

出版信息

J Thromb Thrombolysis. 2016 Apr;41(3):482-92. doi: 10.1007/s11239-015-1250-2.

Abstract

The Wells score and the revised Geneva score are two most commonly used clinical rules for excluding pulmonary embolism (PE). In this study, we aimed to assess the diagnostic accuracy of these two rules; we also compared the diagnostic accuracy between them. We searched PubMed and Web of science up to April 2015. Studies assessed Wells score and revised Geneva score for diagnosis suspected PE were included. The summary area under the curve (AUC) and the 95 % confidence interval (CI) were calculated. Eleven studies were included in this meta-analysis. For Wells score, the sensitivity ranged from 63.8 to 79.3 %, and the specificity ranged from 48.8 to 90.0 %. The overall weighted AUC was 0.778 (95 % CI 0.740-0.818; Z = 9.88, P < 0.001). For revised Geneva score, the sensitivity ranged from 55.3 to 73.6 %. The overall weighted AUC was 0.693 (95 % CI 0.653-0.736; Z = 11.96, P < 0.001). 95 % CIs of two AUCs were not overlapped, which indicated Wells score was more accurate than revised Geneva score for predicting PE in suspected patients. Meta-regression showed diagnostic accuracy of these two rules was not related with PE prevalence. Sensitivity analysis by only included prospective studies showed the results were robust. Our results showed the Wells score was more effective than the revised Geneva score in discriminate PE in suspected patients.

摘要

Wells评分和修订后的Geneva评分是排除肺栓塞(PE)最常用的两种临床规则。在本研究中,我们旨在评估这两种规则的诊断准确性;我们还比较了它们之间的诊断准确性。我们检索了截至2015年4月的PubMed和科学网。纳入评估Wells评分和修订后的Geneva评分以诊断疑似PE的研究。计算曲线下面积(AUC)的汇总值和95%置信区间(CI)。本荟萃分析纳入了11项研究。对于Wells评分,敏感性范围为63.8%至79.3%,特异性范围为48.8%至90.0%。总体加权AUC为0.778(95%CI 0.740-0.818;Z=9.88,P<0.001)。对于修订后的Geneva评分,敏感性范围为55.3%至73.6%。总体加权AUC为0.693(95%CI 0.653-0.736;Z=11.96,P<0.001)。两个AUC的95%CI不重叠,这表明在预测疑似患者的PE方面,Wells评分比修订后的Geneva评分更准确。Meta回归显示这两种规则的诊断准确性与PE患病率无关。仅纳入前瞻性研究的敏感性分析表明结果是稳健的。我们的结果表明,在鉴别疑似患者的PE方面,Wells评分比修订后的Geneva评分更有效。

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