Moon W, Wettlaufer J S
Institute of Theoretical Geophysics, Department of Applied Mathematics and Theoretical Physics, University of Cambridge Cambridge, UK ; Yale University, New Haven Connecticut, USA.
Yale University, New Haven Connecticut, USA ; Mathematical Institute, University of Oxford Oxford, UK.
J Geophys Res Oceans. 2014 Aug;119(8):5555-5562. doi: 10.1002/2014JC009964. Epub 2014 Aug 28.
We examine the nature of the ice-albedo feedback in a long-standing approach used in the dynamic-thermodynamic modeling of sea ice. The central issue examined is how the evolution of the ice area is treated when modeling a partial ice cover using a two-category-thickness scheme; thin sea ice and open water in one category and "thick" sea ice in the second. The problem with the scheme is that the area evolution is handled in a manner that violates the basic rules of calculus, which leads to a neglected area evolution term that is equivalent to neglecting a leading-order latent heat flux. We demonstrate the consequences by constructing energy balance models with a fractional ice cover and studying them under the influence of increased radiative forcing. It is shown that the neglected flux is particularly important in a decaying ice cover approaching the transitions to seasonal or ice-free conditions. Clearly, a mishandling of the evolution of the ice area has leading-order effects on the ice-albedo feedback. Accordingly, it may be of considerable importance to reexamine the relevant climate model schemes and to begin the process of converting them to fully resolve the sea ice thickness distribution in a manner such as remapping, which does not in principle suffer from the pathology we describe.
我们采用海冰动态热力学建模中一种长期使用的方法来研究冰反照率反馈的本质。所研究的核心问题是,在使用两类厚度方案对部分冰盖进行建模时,如何处理冰面积的演变;一类是薄海冰和开阔水域,另一类是“厚”海冰。该方案的问题在于,其处理面积演变的方式违反了微积分的基本规则,这导致一个被忽略的面积演变项,相当于忽略了一个主导阶潜热通量。我们通过构建具有部分冰盖的能量平衡模型并在增加辐射强迫的影响下对其进行研究,来证明其后果。结果表明,在接近向季节性或无冰条件转变的衰退冰盖中,被忽略的通量尤为重要。显然,对冰面积演变的处理不当对冰反照率反馈具有主导阶影响。因此,重新审视相关的气候模型方案,并开始将它们转换为以重新映射等方式完全解析海冰厚度分布的过程可能相当重要,这种方式原则上不会出现我们所描述的问题。