He Ji-Qiang, Yu Xian-Peng, Peng Cheng, Li Quan, Luo Ya-Wei, Gao Yue-Chun, Zhang Xiao-Ling, Wu Chang-Yan, Zhao Hua, Zhang Yu-Chen, Liu Jing-Hua, Lyu Shu-Zheng, Chen Fang
Department of Cardiology, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University and Institution of Beijing Heart Lung and Vascular Disease, Beijing 100029, China.
Chin Med J (Engl). 2015 Aug 20;128(16):2176-82. doi: 10.4103/0366-6999.162510.
The SYNergy between percutaneous coronary intervention with TAXus and cardiac surgery Score II (SS-II) can well predict 4-year mortality in patients with complex coronary artery disease (CAD), and guide decision-making between coronary artery bypass graft surgery and percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). However, there is lack of data regarding the utility of the SS-II in patients with three-vessel CAD undergoing PCI treated with second-generation drug-eluting stents (DES). The purpose of the present study was to evaluate the ability of the SS-II to predict long-term mortality in patients with three-vessel CAD undergoing PCI with second-generation DES.
Totally, 573 consecutive patients with de novo three-vessel CAD who underwent PCI with second-generation DES were retrospectively studied. According to the tertiles of the SS-II, the patients were divided into three groups: The lowest SS-II tertile (SS-II ≤20), intermediate SS-II tertile (SS-II of 21-31), and the highest SS-II tertile (SS-II ≥32). The survival curves of the different groups were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analyses were performed to evaluate the relationship between the SS-II and 5-year mortality. The performance of the SS-II with respect to predicting the rate of mortality was studied by calculating the area under the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve. The predictive ability of the SS-II for 5-year mortality was evaluated and compared with the SS alone.
The overall SS-II was 27.6 ± 9.0. Among patients in the lowest, intermediate and the highest SS-II tertiles, the 5-year rates of mortality were 1.6%, 3.2%, and 8.6%, respectively (P = 0.003); the cardiac mortality rates were 0.5%, 1.9%, and 5.2%, respectively (P = 0.014). By multivariable analysis, adjusting for the potential confounders, the SS-II was an independent predictor of 5-year mortality (hazard ratio: 2.45, 95% confidence interval: 1.38-4.36; P = 0.002). The SS-II demonstrated a higher predictive accuracy for 5-year mortality compared with the SS alone (the area under the ROC curve was 0.705 and 0.598, respectively).
The SS-II is an independent predictor of 5-year mortality in patients with three-vessel CAD undergoing PCI treated with second-generation DES, and demonstrates a superior predictive ability over the SS alone.
紫杉醇药物涂层支架与心脏手术评分Ⅱ(SS-II)之间的协同作用能够很好地预测复杂冠状动脉疾病(CAD)患者的4年死亡率,并指导冠状动脉旁路移植术和经皮冠状动脉介入治疗(PCI)之间的决策。然而,目前缺乏关于SS-II在接受第二代药物洗脱支架(DES)治疗的三支血管CAD患者中的应用数据。本研究的目的是评估SS-II预测接受第二代DES治疗的三支血管CAD患者长期死亡率的能力。
对573例连续接受第二代DES治疗的初发三支血管CAD患者进行回顾性研究。根据SS-II的三分位数,将患者分为三组:最低SS-II三分位数组(SS-II≤20)、中间SS-II三分位数组(SS-II为21-31)和最高SS-II三分位数组(SS-II≥32)。采用Kaplan-Meier法估计不同组的生存曲线。进行单因素和多因素Cox比例风险回归分析,以评估SS-II与5年死亡率之间的关系。通过计算受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线下面积,研究SS-II预测死亡率的性能。评估SS-II对5年死亡率的预测能力,并与单独的SS进行比较。
总体SS-II为27.6±9.0。在最低、中间和最高SS-II三分位数组的患者中,5年死亡率分别为1.6%(P=0.003)、3.2%和8.6%;心脏死亡率分别为0.5%(P=0.014)、1.9%和5.2%。通过多变量分析,校正潜在混杂因素后,SS-II是5年死亡率的独立预测因素(风险比:2.45,95%置信区间:1.38-4.36;P=0.002)。与单独的SS相比,SS-II对5年死亡率的预测准确性更高(ROC曲线下面积分别为)。
SS-II是接受第二代DES治疗的三支血管CAD患者5年死亡率的独立预测因素,并且其预测能力优于单独的SS。