Pritchard Colin, Rosenorn-Lanng Emily
Emily Rosenorn-Laang Research Officer, Faculty of Health and Social Sciences, Psychiatric Social Work, Bournemouth BH1 3 LT, UK.
Bournemouth University, Bournemouth BH1 3 LT, UK.
Surg Neurol Int. 2015 Jul 23;6:123. doi: 10.4103/2152-7806.161420. eCollection 2015.
Have USA total neurological deaths (TNDs) of adults (55-74) and the over 75's risen more than in twenty Western Countries?
World Health Organization TND data are compared with control mortalities cancer mortality rates (CMRs) and circulatory disease deaths (CDDs) between 1989-1991 and 2008-2010 and odds ratios (ORs) and confidence intervals calculated.
Neurological Deaths - Twenty country (TC) average 55-74 male rates per million (pm) rose 2% to 503 pm, USA increased by 82% to 627 pm. TC average females rose 1% to 390 pm, USA rising 48% to 560 pm. TC average over 75's male and female increased 117% and 143%; USA rising 368% and 663%, significantly more than 16 countries. Cancer mortality - Average 55-74 male and female fell 20% and 12%, USA down 36% and 18%. TC average over 75's male and female fell 13% and 15%, the USA 29% and 2%. Circulatory deaths - TC average 55-74 rates fell 60% and 46% the USA down 54% and 53%. Over 75's average down 46% and 39%, USA falling 40% and 33%. ORs for rose substantially in every country. TC average 75's ORs for CMR: TND male and females were 1:2.83 and 1:3.04 but the USA 1:5.18 and 1:6.50. The ORs for CDD: TND male and females TC average was 1:3.42 and 1:3.62 but the USA 1:6.13 and 1:9.89.
Every country's neurological deaths rose relative to the controls, especially in the USA, which is a cause for concern and suggests possible environmental influences.
美国55至74岁成年人及75岁以上人群的全因神经疾病死亡人数(TNDs)增长幅度是否超过20个西方国家?
将世界卫生组织的TND数据与1989 - 1991年和2008 - 2010年期间的对照死亡率、癌症死亡率(CMRs)和循环系统疾病死亡人数(CDDs)进行比较,并计算比值比(ORs)和置信区间。
神经疾病死亡人数——20个国家(TC)55至74岁男性每百万人口(pm)的平均死亡率上升了2%,至503 pm,美国则上升了82%,至627 pm。TC平均女性死亡率上升了1%,至390 pm,美国上升了48%,至560 pm。TC 75岁以上男性和女性的平均死亡率分别上升了117%和143%;美国分别上升了368%和663%,显著高于16个国家。癌症死亡率——55至74岁男性和女性的平均死亡率分别下降了20%和12%,美国分别下降了36%和18%。TC 75岁以上男性和女性的平均死亡率分别下降了13%和15%,美国分别下降了29%和2%。循环系统疾病死亡人数——TC 55至74岁的平均死亡率分别下降了60%和46%,美国分别下降了54%和53%。75岁以上人群的平均死亡率分别下降了46%和39%,美国分别下降了40%和33%。每个国家的ORs均大幅上升。TC 75岁以上人群CMR的ORs:TND男性和女性分别为1:2.83和1:3.04,但美国为1:5.18和1:6.50。CDD的ORs:TC TND男性和女性的平均分别为1:3.42和1:3.62,但美国为1:6.13和1:9.89。
相对于对照数据,每个国家的神经疾病死亡人数均有所上升,尤其是在美国,这令人担忧,并提示可能存在环境影响因素。