Szklo André Salem, de Souza Mirian Carvalho, Szklo Moysés, de Almeida Liz Maria
Division of Epidemiology, Brazilian National Cancer Institute (INCA), Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Division of Epidemiology, The Johns Hopkins University, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Tob Control. 2016 Sep;25(5):564-70. doi: 10.1136/tobaccocontrol-2015-052324. Epub 2015 Aug 20.
Brazil has experienced a large decline in smoking prevalence due to several tobacco control policies that were implemented in the past 25 years. Previous population-wide studies found a consistent reduction over time in daily cigarette consumption among all socioeconomic groups.
To examine changes between 2008 and 2013 in tobacco behaviours and health-related conditions of smokers.
We used data obtained from two nationally-representative surveys conducted in 2008 and 2013 to estimate the prevalence of self-reported psychological and physical morbidity, and nicotine dependence markers, stratified by gender and sociodemographic groups. Generalised linear models were used to understand whether absolute differences in prevalence rates over time differed by categories of selected variables.
For both genders, as smoking prevalence declined in Brazil, there has been an increase in the proportion of ever smokers who have quit. In addition, remaining smokers seem to be making more quitting attempts. Among men with low educational level or younger than 25 years-old, as compared to their counterparts, cessation rate showed an even greater increase over time. Moreover, the proportion of light smokers, which represent the vast majority of smokers, did not decrease. The percentage of poor health-conditions among remaining smokers nevertheless increased, particularly among women, which can make future cessation more challenging.
In Brazil, quitting rate is increasing, thus suggesting that tobacco control interventions implemented in Brazil in the past years seem to be effectively reaching the smoking population. This is strong evidence against the 'hardening hypothesis', which posits that remaining smokers decrease their willingness and ability to quit.
由于在过去25年里实施了多项烟草控制政策,巴西的吸烟率大幅下降。此前的全人群研究发现,所有社会经济群体的每日卷烟消费量都随时间持续减少。
研究2008年至2013年期间吸烟者的烟草行为和健康相关状况的变化。
我们使用了2008年和2013年进行的两项全国代表性调查的数据,以估计自我报告的心理和身体疾病患病率以及尼古丁依赖指标,并按性别和社会人口群体进行分层。使用广义线性模型来了解患病率随时间的绝对差异是否因所选变量的类别而异。
在巴西,随着吸烟率下降,两性中戒烟的曾经吸烟者比例均有所增加。此外,仍在吸烟的人似乎尝试戒烟的次数更多。与同龄人相比,教育程度低或年龄在25岁以下的男性的戒烟率随时间的增长更为显著。此外,占吸烟者绝大多数的轻度吸烟者比例并未下降。然而,仍在吸烟的人群中健康状况不佳的比例有所增加,尤其是女性,这可能使未来的戒烟更具挑战性。
在巴西,戒烟率正在上升,这表明过去几年在巴西实施的烟草控制干预措施似乎有效地覆盖了吸烟人群。这有力地反驳了“硬化假说”,该假说认为剩余吸烟者会降低他们戒烟的意愿和能力。