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1995 - 2010年美国机动车事故死亡人数的社会经济不平等趋势

Trends in Socioeconomic Inequalities in Motor Vehicle Accident Deaths in the United States, 1995-2010.

作者信息

Harper Sam, Charters Thomas J, Strumpf Erin C

出版信息

Am J Epidemiol. 2015 Oct 1;182(7):606-14. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwv099. Epub 2015 Sep 8.

Abstract

Motor vehicle accident (MVA) mortality has been declining overall, but little is known about trends by socioeconomic position. We examined trends in education-related inequalities in US MVA death rates from 1995 to 2010. We used mortality data from the National Center for Health Statistics and population estimates from the Current Population Survey, and we calculated vehicle- and person-miles traveled using data from the National Household Travel Survey. We used negative binomial regression to estimate crude and age-, sex-, and race-adjusted mortality rates among adults aged 25 years or more. We found larger mortality decreases among the more highly educated and some evidence of mortality increases among the least educated. Adjusted death rates were 15.3 per 100,000 population (95% confidence interval (CI): 10.7, 19.9) higher at the bottom of the education distribution than at the top of the education distribution in 1995, increasing to 17.9 per 100,000 population (95% CI: 14.8, 21.0) by 2010. In relative terms, adjusted death rates were 2.4 (95% CI: 1.7, 3.0) times higher at the bottom of the education distribution than at the top in 1995, increasing to 4.3 times higher (95% CI: 3.4, 5.3) by 2010. Inequality increases were larger in terms of vehicle-miles traveled. Although overall MVA death rates declined during this period, socioeconomic differences in MVA mortality have persisted or worsened over time.

摘要

机动车事故(MVA)死亡率总体上一直在下降,但关于社会经济地位的趋势却知之甚少。我们研究了1995年至2010年美国机动车事故死亡率中与教育相关的不平等趋势。我们使用了国家卫生统计中心的死亡率数据和当前人口调查的人口估计数,并利用国家家庭旅行调查的数据计算了车辆行驶里程和人均行驶里程。我们使用负二项回归来估计25岁及以上成年人的粗死亡率以及年龄、性别和种族调整后的死亡率。我们发现,受教育程度较高者的死亡率下降幅度更大,同时有证据表明受教育程度最低者的死亡率有所上升。1995年,教育程度分布底层的调整后死亡率比顶层每10万人高出15.3(95%置信区间(CI):10.7,19.9),到2010年增至每10万人17.9(95%CI:14.8,21.0)。相对而言,1995年教育程度分布底层的调整后死亡率比顶层高2.4(95%CI:1.7,3.0)倍,到2010年增至高4.3倍(95%CI:3.4,5.3)。就车辆行驶里程而言,不平等的增加幅度更大。尽管在此期间机动车事故总体死亡率有所下降,但机动车事故死亡率的社会经济差异一直存在或随着时间的推移而恶化。

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