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进退两难:拉丁裔与移民的个人联系、议题显著性和总统支持率之间的关系

Stuck between a rock and a hard place: The relationship between Latino/a's personal connections to immigrants and issue salience and presidential approval.

作者信息

Sanchez Gabriel R, Vargas Edward D, Walker Hannah L, Ybarra Vickie D

机构信息

University of New Mexico.

University of Wisconsin-Madison.

出版信息

Polit Groups Identities. 2015;3(3):454-468. doi: 10.1080/21565503.2015.1050415.

Abstract

The Obama administration has simultaneously marketed the prospect of providing undocumented immigrants a pathway to citizenship through comprehensive immigration reform and overseen mass deportations of mostly Latino immigrants. While it is clear that immigration policy was highly influential to Latino voters in 2012, it remains unclear how this political hypocrisy is being interpreted by Latino voters. As deportations have risen steadily during the Obama administration, there has been little research on how deportations and personal connections to undocumented immigrants have influenced the political attitudes of the Latino/a electorate. Using a nationally representative survey of 800 registered Latino/a voters administered in 2013, we explore the relationships between personal connections to undocumented immigrants and issue salience among Latinos as well as Latinos' views of President Obama. This study finds that registered Latino voters who know deportees and undocumented immigrants are more likely to report that they think the President and Congress should act on immigration policy versus all other policies. Moreover, Latino voters who know someone who is undocumented are less likely to have favorable views towards President Obama. This study has implications for our collective knowledge of how direct and indirect connections to policy outcomes influences the political behavior of the highly influential Latino/a electorate and how political and policy outcomes will be influenced in the future when a much higher proportion of the electorate have such connections.

摘要

奥巴马政府一方面宣扬通过全面移民改革为非法移民提供入籍途径的前景,另一方面却监管了针对主要是拉丁裔移民的大规模驱逐行动。虽然很明显移民政策在2012年对拉丁裔选民产生了重大影响,但目前尚不清楚拉丁裔选民如何解读这种政治上的虚伪。在奥巴马政府执政期间,驱逐行动稳步增加,然而关于驱逐行动以及与非法移民的个人联系如何影响拉丁裔选民的政治态度,却鲜有研究。我们利用2013年对800名登记在册的拉丁裔选民进行的全国代表性调查,探讨了与非法移民的个人联系和拉丁裔群体中问题的突出程度之间的关系,以及拉丁裔对奥巴马总统的看法。这项研究发现,认识被驱逐者和非法移民的登记拉丁裔选民更有可能表示,他们认为总统和国会应该针对移民政策而非其他所有政策采取行动。此外,认识非法移民的拉丁裔选民对奥巴马总统持好感的可能性较小。这项研究对于我们理解与政策结果的直接和间接联系如何影响极具影响力的拉丁裔选民的政治行为,以及当更高比例的选民有此类联系时,未来政治和政策结果将如何受到影响,具有重要意义。

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