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生命之弧的人口拉伸:紧随人口转变之后的社会和文化变迁。

The Demographic Stretch of the Arc of Life: Social and Cultural Changes That Follow the Demographic Transition.

机构信息

United States Agency for International Development, Washington, DC, USA.

Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA.

出版信息

Glob Health Sci Pract. 2015 Sep 15;3(3):341-51. doi: 10.9745/GHSP-D-14-00175. Print 2015 Sep.

Abstract

The demographic transition from high to low levels of mortality and fertility brings about changes that stretch the “arc of life,” making each stage of life longer and creating new ones—a phenomenon we call “the demographic stretch.” This stretch can transform societal structure, for example, by extending childhood, shifting working ages up, delaying marriage and childbearing, improving women’s status and equity, and pushing the burden of chronic disease and disability to older ages. Global health efforts must address the resultant economic and social changes.

摘要

人口死亡率和生育率从高到低的转变带来了一系列变化,延长了“生命之弧”,使生命的每个阶段都变得更长,并创造了新的阶段——我们称之为“人口延伸”。这种延伸可以改变社会结构,例如延长童年期,提高工作年龄,推迟结婚和生育,提高妇女地位和平等,并将慢性病和残疾的负担推向老年。全球卫生工作必须应对由此产生的经济和社会变化。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/eed1/4570009/0ec55066d63d/341fig1.jpg

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