Simkin M V, Roychowdhury V P
Department of Electrical Engineering, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095-1594, USA.
Appl Econ Lett. 2015 Dec 12;22(18):1499-1504. doi: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1042135. Epub 2015 Apr 30.
We investigate a pool of international chess title holders born between 1901 and 1943. Using Elo ratings, we compute for every player his expected score in a game with a randomly selected player from the pool. We use this figure as the player's merit. We measure players' fame as the number of Google hits. The correlation between fame and merit is 0.38. At the same time, the correlation between the logarithm of fame and merit is 0.61. This suggests that fame grows exponentially with merit.
我们研究了一群出生于1901年至1943年之间的国际象棋冠军。利用Elo等级分,我们为每位棋手计算他在与从该群体中随机挑选的一名棋手对弈时的预期得分。我们将这个数字作为棋手的功绩。我们将棋手的知名度衡量为谷歌搜索结果的数量。知名度与功绩之间的相关性为0.38。与此同时,知名度的对数与功绩之间的相关性为0.61。这表明知名度随功绩呈指数增长。