Oh Hyung Jung, Lee Mi Jung, Kwon Young Eun, Park Kyoung Sook, Park Jung Tak, Han Seung Hyeok, Yoo Tae-Hyun, Kim Yong-Lim, Kim Yon Su, Yang Chul Woo, Kim Nam-Ho, Kang Shin-Wook
From the Department of Internal Medicine, College of Medicine, Brain Korea 21 for Medical Science, Severance Biomedical Science Institute, Yonsei University, Seoul (HJO, MJL, YEK, KSP, LTP, SHH, T-HY, S-WK), Department of Internal Medicine, Kyungpook National University School of Medicine, Daegu (Y-LK), Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University of Medicine (YSK), Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul St. Mary's Hospital, College of Medicine, Seoul (CWY); and Department of Medicine, Chonnam National University Medical School, Gwangju, Korea (N-HK).
Medicine (Baltimore). 2015 Nov;94(44):e1636. doi: 10.1097/MD.0000000000001636.
Although numerous previous studies have explored various biomarkers for their ability to predict mortality in end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients, these studies have been limited by retrospective analyses, mostly prevalent dialysis patients, and the measurement of only 1 or 2 biomarkers. This prospective study was aimed to evaluate the association between 3 biomarkers and mortality in incident 335 ESRD patients starting continuous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis (CAPD) in Korea. According to the baseline NT-proBNP, cTnT, and hsCRP levels, the patients were stratified into tertiles, and cardiovascular (CV) and all-cause mortalities were compared. Additionally, time-dependent ROC curves were constructed, and the net reclassification index (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) of the models with various biomarkers were calculated. We found the upper tertile of NT-proBNP was significantly associated with increased risk of both CV and all-cause mortalities. However, the upper tertile of hsCRP was significantly related only to the high risk of all-cause mortality even after adjustment for age, sex, and white blood cell counts. Moreover, NT-proBNP had the highest predictive power for CV mortality, whereas hsCRP was the best prognostic marker for all-cause mortality among these biomarkers. In conclusions, NT-proBNP is a more significant prognostic factor for CV mortality than cTnT and hsCRP, whereas hsCRP is a more significant predictor than NT-proBNP and cTnT for all-cause mortality in incident peritoneal dialysis patients.
尽管此前有大量研究探讨了各种生物标志物预测终末期肾病(ESRD)患者死亡率的能力,但这些研究存在局限性,多为回顾性分析、主要是普遍的透析患者,且仅测量1或2种生物标志物。这项前瞻性研究旨在评估韩国335例开始持续非卧床腹膜透析(CAPD)的初发ESRD患者中3种生物标志物与死亡率之间的关联。根据基线NT-proBNP、cTnT和hsCRP水平,将患者分为三分位数,并比较心血管(CV)死亡率和全因死亡率。此外,构建了时间依赖性ROC曲线,并计算了包含各种生物标志物的模型的净重新分类指数(NRI)和综合判别改善(IDI)。我们发现,NT-proBNP的上三分位数与CV死亡率和全因死亡率风险增加显著相关。然而,即使在调整年龄、性别和白细胞计数后,hsCRP的上三分位数仅与全因死亡率高风险显著相关。此外,NT-proBNP对CV死亡率的预测能力最高,而在这些生物标志物中,hsCRP是全因死亡率的最佳预后标志物。总之,对于初发腹膜透析患者,NT-proBNP是比cTnT和hsCRP更显著的CV死亡率预后因素,而hsCRP是比NT-proBNP和cTnT更显著的全因死亡率预测因素。