N Engl J Med. 1989 Jul 20;321(3):129-35. doi: 10.1056/NEJM198907203210301.
The Physicians' Health Study is a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial designed to determine whether low-dose aspirin (325 mg every other day) decreases cardiovascular mortality and whether beta carotene reduces the incidence of cancer. The aspirin component was terminated earlier than scheduled, and the preliminary findings were published. We now present detailed analyses of the cardiovascular component for 22,071 participants, at an average follow-up time of 60.2 months. There was a 44 percent reduction in the risk of myocardial infarction (relative risk, 0.56; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.45 to 0.70; P less than 0.00001) in the aspirin group (254.8 per 100,000 per year as compared with 439.7 in the placebo group). A slightly increased risk of stroke among those taking aspirin was not statistically significant; this trend was observed primarily in the subgroup with hemorrhagic stroke (relative risk, 2.14; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.96 to 4.77; P = 0.06). No reduction in mortality from all cardiovascular causes was associated with aspirin (relative risk, 0.96; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.60 to 1.54). Further analyses showed that the reduction in the risk of myocardial infarction was apparent only among those who were 50 years of age and older. The benefit was present at all levels of cholesterol, but appeared greatest at low levels. The relative risk of ulcer in the aspirin group was 1.22 (169 in the aspirin group as compared with 138 in the placebo group; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.98 to 1.53; P = 0.08), and the relative risk of requiring a blood transfusion was 1.71. This trial of aspirin for the primary prevention of cardiovascular disease demonstrates a conclusive reduction in the risk of myocardial infarction, but the evidence concerning stroke and total cardiovascular deaths remains inconclusive because of the inadequate numbers of physicians with these end points.
医师健康研究是一项随机、双盲、安慰剂对照试验,旨在确定低剂量阿司匹林(每隔一天服用325毫克)是否能降低心血管疾病死亡率,以及β-胡萝卜素是否能降低癌症发病率。阿司匹林部分试验比计划提前终止,初步结果已发表。我们现在给出了对22071名参与者心血管部分的详细分析,平均随访时间为60.2个月。阿司匹林组心肌梗死风险降低了44%(相对风险为0.56;95%置信区间为0.45至0.70;P小于0.00001)(每年每10万人中254.8例,而安慰剂组为439.7例)。服用阿司匹林者中风风险略有增加,但无统计学意义;这一趋势主要在出血性中风亚组中观察到(相对风险为2.14;95%置信区间为0.96至4.77;P = 0.06)。阿司匹林与所有心血管病因导致的死亡率降低无关(相对风险为0.96;95%置信区间为0.60至1.54)。进一步分析表明心肌梗死风险降低仅在50岁及以上人群中明显。在所有胆固醇水平下均有获益,但在低水平时获益最大。阿司匹林组溃疡的相对风险为1.22(阿司匹林组169例,安慰剂组138例;95%置信区间为0.98至1.53;P = 0.08),需要输血的相对风险为1.71。这项阿司匹林用于心血管疾病一级预防的试验表明心肌梗死风险有确凿降低,但由于发生这些终点事件的医生数量不足,关于中风和心血管疾病总死亡的证据仍不确凿。