Pereira Débora V S, Mota Caroline M M, Andresen Martin A
1 Federal University of Pernambuco, Recife, Brazil.
2 Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, British Columbia, Canada.
Int J Offender Ther Comp Criminol. 2017 Oct;61(14):1570-1592. doi: 10.1177/0306624X15623282. Epub 2015 Dec 31.
In this article, we investigate the determinants of homicide in Recife, Brazil, considering social disorganization theory. Using georeferenced homicide data, 2009-2013, and census data, we analyze homicide in Recife using a spatial regression technique that controls for spatial autocorrelation and heteroskedasticity at the census tract level. Overall, we find that homicide in Recife, Brazil, is characterized by social disorganization theory. Specifically, positive relationships are found for inequality, rented houses, and quantity of people, but negative relationships are found for income, literacy, percentage of married people, water supply, public illumination, the percentage of women responsible for the house, and population density. Overall, we find that social disorganization theory provides an instructive framework for understanding homicide in Recife, Brazil. However, there are specific contexts to Brazil that are different from North American contexts.
在本文中,我们运用社会失序理论,对巴西累西腓市杀人案件的影响因素展开调查。利用2009年至2013年的地理参考杀人案件数据以及人口普查数据,我们采用空间回归技术对累西腓市的杀人案件进行分析,该技术可控制普查区层面的空间自相关和异方差性。总体而言,我们发现巴西累西腓市的杀人案件符合社会失序理论的特征。具体来说,不平等、出租房屋和人口数量与杀人案件呈正相关,而收入、识字率、已婚人口百分比、供水、公共照明、家庭主妇百分比以及人口密度与杀人案件呈负相关。总体而言,我们发现社会失序理论为理解巴西累西腓市的杀人案件提供了一个具有启发性的框架。然而,巴西存在一些与北美不同的特定情况。