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环境库兹涅茨曲线中的经济增长与能源调节。

Economic growth and energy regulation in the environmental Kuznets curve.

机构信息

Department of Political Economy and Public Finance, Economic and Business Statistics and Economic Policy, University of Castilla-La Mancha, Cuenca, Spain.

Department of Spanish and International Economics, Econometrics and Economic History and Institutions, University of Castilla-La Mancha, Cuenca, Spain.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2016 Aug;23(16):16478-94. doi: 10.1007/s11356-016-6773-3. Epub 2016 May 11.

Abstract

This study establishes the existence of a pattern of behavior, between economic growth and environmental degradation, consistent with the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis for 17 Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) countries between 1990 and 2012. Based on this EKC pattern, it shows that energy regulation measures help reduce per capita greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. To validate this hypothesis, we also add the explanatory variables: renewable energy promotion, energy innovation processes, and the suppression effect of income level on the contribution of renewable energy sources to total energy consumption. It aims to be a tool for decision-making regarding energy policy. This paper provides a two-stage econometric analysis of instrumental variables with the aim of correcting the existence of endogeneity in the variable GDP per capita, verifying that the instrumental variables used in this research are appropriate for our aim. To this end, it first makes a methodological contribution before incorporating additional variables associated with environmental air pollution into the EKC hypothesis and showing how they positively affect the explanation of the correction in the GHG emission levels. This study concludes that air pollution will not disappear on its own as economic growth increases. Therefore, it is necessary to promote energy regulation measures to reduce environmental pollution.

摘要

本研究确立了一种行为模式的存在,即在经济增长和环境退化之间,与经济合作与发展组织(OECD)17 个成员国 1990 年至 2012 年间的环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)假说一致。基于这种 EKC 模式,它表明能源监管措施有助于减少人均温室气体(GHG)排放。为了验证这一假设,我们还增加了解释变量:可再生能源推广、能源创新过程,以及收入水平对可再生能源在总能源消费中贡献的抑制作用。其目的是为能源政策决策提供工具。本文采用两阶段工具变量的计量经济学分析方法,旨在纠正人均 GDP 变量存在的内生性问题,验证本研究中使用的工具变量是否适合我们的目的。为此,它首先在将与环境空气污染相关的附加变量纳入 EKC 假设并展示它们如何积极影响 GHG 排放水平校正的解释之前,做出了方法学贡献。本研究得出的结论是,随着经济增长,空气污染不会自行消失。因此,有必要推广能源监管措施以减少环境污染。

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