Quirmbach Diana, Gerry Christopher J
London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Social Policy, Houghton Street, London, WC2A 2AE, United Kingdom; International Centre for Health Economics, Management and Policy, HSE University, St Petersburg, Russian Federation.
International Centre for Health Economics, Management and Policy, HSE University, St Petersburg, Russian Federation.
Soc Sci Med. 2016 Jul;160:54-66. doi: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2016.05.008. Epub 2016 May 9.
While a number of studies, based on cross-sectional data for Russia, have documented strong increases in female smoking during the past two decades, the analysis of longer-term trends in smoking prevalence is hampered by the lack of representative data for the Soviet era. In this paper we create life-course smoking histories based on retrospective data from the Russia Longitudinal Monitoring Survey of HSE (RLMS-HSE) and the Global Adult Tobacco Survey (GATS) which allow us to examine the dynamics of smoking patterns over the past 7 decades. We find that smoking rates differ most strongly by gender within all cohorts, but that this differential has decreased over time, driven by increases in female smoking and more recently by decreases in smoking among men. For both genders we observe that the education gradient has become steeper over time, with smoking rates having increased at a higher rate among those with the lowest educational attainment. These findings suggest that the development of smoking in Russia mirrors that described in the model of the tobacco epidemic and observed in Western high-income countries.
尽管一些基于俄罗斯横断面数据的研究记录了过去二十年中女性吸烟率的强劲上升,但由于缺乏苏联时期的代表性数据,吸烟流行率的长期趋势分析受到了阻碍。在本文中,我们根据俄罗斯高等经济学院纵向监测调查(RLMS-HSE)和全球成人烟草调查(GATS)的回顾性数据创建了生命历程吸烟史,这使我们能够研究过去70年吸烟模式的动态变化。我们发现,在所有队列中,吸烟率在性别上的差异最为显著,但随着时间的推移,这种差异有所减小,这是由女性吸烟率上升以及最近男性吸烟率下降所驱动的。对于两性来说,我们都观察到教育梯度随着时间的推移变得更加陡峭,教育程度最低的人群吸烟率上升速度更快。这些发现表明,俄罗斯吸烟情况的发展反映了烟草流行模型中所描述的情况,并且与西方高收入国家的情况相似。