School of Public Health, Key Lab of Public Health Safety of the Ministry of Education, and Key Lab of Health Technology Assessment of the Ministry of Health, Fudan University, Shanghai 200032, China.
School of Public Health, Key Lab of Public Health Safety of the Ministry of Education, and Key Lab of Health Technology Assessment of the Ministry of Health, Fudan University, Shanghai 200032, China; Shanghai Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Particle Pollution and Prevention (LAP(3)), Fudan University, Shanghai 200032, China.
Sci Total Environ. 2016 Dec 1;572:114-118. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.07.205. Epub 2016 Aug 3.
Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is becoming a considerable public health burden worldwide. The seasonal variation of OHCA has been observed, but the potential effects of ambient temperature on OHCA were rarely investigated. We, therefore, aimed to evaluate the association between ambient temperature and OHCA in Guangzhou, China. We collected daily emergency ambulance dispatches for OHCA from the Guangzhou Emergency Center from January 1, 2008 to December 31, 2012. We analyzed the associations using the time-series method. We applied the generalized linear model combined with the distributed lag non-linear model to estimate the potentially non-linear and lagged effects of temperature on OHCA. Time trends, day of the week, and air pollutants were controlled as covariates. We identified a total of 4369 cases of OHCD. The associations between daily mean temperature and OHCA were generally J-shaped. Both low and high temperatures could increase the risk of OHCA. The effects were strongest on the concurrent day (lag 0) and lasted for 6 or 7days. The cumulative risks of extreme cold (1st percentile of temperature) and extreme heat (99th percentile of temperature) over lags 0-21days were 3.75 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.63, 8.63) and 2.45 (95%CI: 1.15, 5.33), respectively, compared with the referent temperature (28°C)·This study suggested that both cold and hot temperatures could significantly increase the risk of OHCA in Guangzhou, China. Our results might have important public health implications for the prevention of OHCA.
院外心脏骤停 (OHCA) 在全球范围内正成为一个相当大的公共卫生负担。已经观察到 OHCA 的季节性变化,但很少有研究调查环境温度对 OHCA 的潜在影响。因此,我们旨在评估中国广州环境温度与 OHCA 之间的关系。我们从 2008 年 1 月 1 日至 2012 年 12 月 31 日从广州急救中心收集了每日紧急救护车调度的 OHCA 数据。我们使用时间序列方法分析了这些关联。我们应用广义线性模型结合分布式滞后非线性模型来估计温度对 OHCA 的潜在非线性和滞后影响。时间趋势、星期几和空气污染物被作为协变量进行控制。我们共确定了 4369 例 OHCA 病例。每日平均温度与 OHCA 之间的关系通常呈 J 形。低温和高温都会增加 OHCA 的风险。这种影响在当天(滞后 0 天)最强,并持续 6 或 7 天。极端寒冷(温度第 1 百分位数)和极端炎热(温度第 99 百分位数)在滞后 0-21 天内的累积风险分别为 3.75(95%置信区间 [CI]:1.63,8.63)和 2.45(95%CI:1.15,5.33),与参考温度(28°C)相比。本研究表明,在中国广州,寒冷和炎热的温度都会显著增加 OHCA 的风险。我们的研究结果可能对预防 OHCA 具有重要的公共卫生意义。