Shi Zhenzhen, Chapes Stephen K, Ben-Arieh David, Wu Chih-Hang
Health Care Operations Resource Center, Department of Industrial and Manufacturing Systems Engineering, Kansas State University, Manhattan, Kansas, United States of America.
Division of Biology, Kansas State University, Manhattan, Kansas, United States of America.
PLoS One. 2016 Aug 24;11(8):e0161131. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0161131. eCollection 2016.
We present an agent-based model (ABM) to simulate a hepatic inflammatory response (HIR) in a mouse infected by Salmonella that sometimes progressed to problematic proportions, known as "sepsis". Based on over 200 published studies, this ABM describes interactions among 21 cells or cytokines and incorporates 226 experimental data sets and/or data estimates from those reports to simulate a mouse HIR in silico. Our simulated results reproduced dynamic patterns of HIR reported in the literature. As shown in vivo, our model also demonstrated that sepsis was highly related to the initial Salmonella dose and the presence of components of the adaptive immune system. We determined that high mobility group box-1, C-reactive protein, and the interleukin-10: tumor necrosis factor-α ratio, and CD4+ T cell: CD8+ T cell ratio, all recognized as biomarkers during HIR, significantly correlated with outcomes of HIR. During therapy-directed silico simulations, our results demonstrated that anti-agent intervention impacted the survival rates of septic individuals in a time-dependent manner. By specifying the infected species, source of infection, and site of infection, this ABM enabled us to reproduce the kinetics of several essential indicators during a HIR, observe distinct dynamic patterns that are manifested during HIR, and allowed us to test proposed therapy-directed treatments. Although limitation still exists, this ABM is a step forward because it links underlying biological processes to computational simulation and was validated through a series of comparisons between the simulated results and experimental studies.
我们提出了一种基于代理的模型(ABM),用于模拟感染沙门氏菌的小鼠体内的肝脏炎症反应(HIR),这种反应有时会发展到有问题的程度,即所谓的“脓毒症”。基于200多项已发表的研究,该ABM描述了21种细胞或细胞因子之间的相互作用,并纳入了226个实验数据集和/或来自这些报告的数据估计值,以在计算机上模拟小鼠的HIR。我们的模拟结果再现了文献中报道的HIR的动态模式。正如在体内所显示的那样,我们的模型还表明,脓毒症与初始沙门氏菌剂量以及适应性免疫系统成分的存在高度相关。我们确定,高迁移率族蛋白B1、C反应蛋白以及白细胞介素-10:肿瘤坏死因子-α比值和CD4 + T细胞:CD8 + T细胞比值,在HIR期间均被认为是生物标志物,与HIR的结果显著相关。在针对治疗的计算机模拟中,我们的结果表明,抗病原体干预以时间依赖性方式影响脓毒症个体的存活率。通过指定感染物种、感染源和感染部位,该ABM使我们能够再现HIR期间几个关键指标的动力学,观察HIR期间表现出的不同动态模式,并使我们能够测试提出的针对治疗的治疗方法。尽管仍然存在局限性,但该ABM是向前迈出的一步,因为它将潜在的生物学过程与计算模拟联系起来,并通过模拟结果与实验研究之间的一系列比较得到了验证。