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服务业对经济复杂性的影响:服务复杂度作为经济增长的路径

The Impact of Services on Economic Complexity: Service Sophistication as Route for Economic Growth.

作者信息

Stojkoski Viktor, Utkovski Zoran, Kocarev Ljupco

机构信息

Research Center for Computer Science and Information Technologies, Macedonian Academy of Sciences and Arts, Skopje, Macedonia.

Faculty of Computer Science, University Goce Delčev in Štip, Štip, Macedonia.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2016 Aug 25;11(8):e0161633. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0161633. eCollection 2016.

Abstract

Economic complexity reflects the amount of knowledge that is embedded in the productive structure of an economy. By combining tools from network science and econometrics, a robust and stable relationship between a country's productive structure and its economic growth has been established. Here we report that not only goods but also services are important for predicting the rate at which countries will grow. By adopting a terminology which classifies manufactured goods and delivered services as products, we investigate the influence of services on the country's productive structure. In particular, we provide evidence that complexity indices for services are in general higher than those for goods, which is reflected in a general tendency to rank countries with developed service sector higher than countries with economy centred on manufacturing of goods. By focusing on country dynamics based on experimental data, we investigate the impact of services on the economic complexity of countries measured in the product space (consisting of both goods and services). Importantly, we show that diversification of service exports and its sophistication can provide an additional route for economic growth in both developing and developed countries.

摘要

经济复杂性反映了经济体生产结构中所蕴含的知识量。通过结合网络科学和计量经济学的工具,已确立了一个国家的生产结构与其经济增长之间稳健且稳定的关系。在此我们报告,不仅商品,而且服务对于预测各国的增长速度也很重要。通过采用一种将制成品和交付服务归类为产品的术语,我们研究了服务对国家生产结构的影响。特别是,我们提供的证据表明,服务的复杂性指数总体上高于商品的复杂性指数,这体现在一种普遍趋势上,即服务业发达的国家在排名上高于以商品制造为中心的经济体的国家。通过基于实验数据关注国家动态,我们研究了服务对在产品空间(由商品和服务组成)中衡量的国家经济复杂性的影响。重要的是,我们表明服务出口的多样化及其复杂性可为发展中国家和发达国家的经济增长提供额外途径。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/85ef/4999235/7d7ad40713da/pone.0161633.g001.jpg

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