Effects of acute rejection vs new-onset diabetes after transplant on transplant outcomes in pediatric kidney recipients: analysis of the Organ Procurement and Transplant Network/United Network for Organ Sharing (OPTN/UNOS) database.

Improving long-term transplant and patient survival is still an ongoing challenge in kidney transplant medicine. Our objective was to identify the subsequent risks of new-onset diabetes after transplant (NODAT) and acute rejection (AR) in the first year post-transplant in predicting mortality and transplant failure. A total of 4687 patients without preexisting diabetes (age 2-20 years, 2004-2010) surviving with a functioning transplant for longer than 1 year with at least one follow-up report were identified from the OPTN/UNOS database as of September 2014. Study population was stratified into four mutually exclusive groups: Group 1, patients with a history of AR; Group 2, NODAT+; Group 3, NODAT+ AR+; and Group 4, the reference group (neither). Multivariate regression was used to analyze the relative risks for the outcomes of transplant failure and mortality. The median follow-up time was 1827 days after 1 year post-transplant. AR was associated with an increased risk of adjusted graft and death-censored graft failure (HR 2.87, CI 2.48-3.33, P < .001 and HR 2.11, CI 1.81-2.47, P < .001), respectively. NODAT and AR were identified in 3.5% and 14.5% of all study patients, respectively. AR in the first year post-transplant was a major risk factor for overall and death-censored graft failure, but not mortality. However, NODAT was not a risk factor on graft survival or mortality.