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对俄亥俄州分级驾驶员执照法对涉及16至20岁驾驶员的机动车碰撞事故及碰撞后果的影响进行评估。

An evaluation of the effect of Ohio's graduated driver licensing law on motor vehicle crashes and crash outcomes involving drivers 16 to 20 years of age.

作者信息

Conner Kristen A, Smith Gary A

机构信息

a Center for Injury Research and Policy, The Research Institute at Nationwide Children's Hospital , Columbus , Ohio.

b The Ohio State University College of Medicine , Department of Pediatrics , Columbus , Ohio.

出版信息

Traffic Inj Prev. 2017 May 19;18(4):344-350. doi: 10.1080/15389588.2016.1209493. Epub 2016 Sep 2.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

Nationally, motor vehicle crashes are the leading cause of death among youth ages 16 to 20 years. Graduated driver licensing (GDL) laws have been implemented to reduce motor vehicle crashes among teen drivers. Studies have shown decreases in teen crash rates and crash-related fatality rates following enactment of GDL laws. However, GDL laws typically apply to teens only until their 18th birthday; therefore, the effect, if any, that GDL laws have on youth drivers ages 18 to 20 years and whether these programs should be extended to include these older youth warrant further study. The objective of this study was to evaluate the effects of Ohio's 2007 revised GDL law on motor vehicle crashes and crash-related injuries for crashes involving teen drivers ages 16 to 20 years, with a focus on the effects on crashes involving drivers ages 18 to 20 years.

METHODS

Cross-sectional analysis of motor vehicle crashes involving drivers ages 16 to 20 years in Ohio in the pre-GDL (2004-2006) and post-GDL (2008-2010) periods was performed. Descriptive statistics and population-based crash rates for drivers and occupants ages 16 to 20 years were calculated, as well as rate ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) comparing crashes in the pre-GDL and post-GDL periods.

RESULTS

Compared with the pre-GDL period, the post-GDL period was associated with lower crash rates for drivers age 16 years (relative risk [RR] = 0.94; 95% CI, 0.90-0.98), age 17 years (RR = 0.90; 95% CI, 0.88-0.93), age 18 years (RR = 0.95; 95% CI, 0.92-0.97), and ages 16-17 years combined (RR = 0.92; 95% CI, 0.90-0.95). Crash rate was higher for the post-GDL period for drivers age 19 years (RR = 1.04; 95% CI, 1.01-1.07), age 20 years (RR = 1.09; 95% CI, 1.05-1.13), and ages 18-20 years combined (RR = 1.02; 95% CI, 1.00-1.03).

CONCLUSIONS

Unlike previous studies, this investigation used linked data to evaluate the outcomes of all occupants in crashes involving drivers ages 16-20 years. The post-GDL period was associated with lower crash, injury crash, and fatal crash involvement among drivers and occupants ages 16-17 years but higher overall crash involvement for drivers and occupants ages 19 years, 20 years, and 18-20 years combined. These findings support extending GDL restrictions to novice drivers ages 18 through 20 years to reduce crashes in that group.

摘要

目的

在全国范围内,机动车碰撞是16至20岁青少年死亡的主要原因。已实施分级驾驶员执照(GDL)法律以减少青少年驾驶员的机动车碰撞事故。研究表明,GDL法律颁布后青少年碰撞率和与碰撞相关的死亡率有所下降。然而,GDL法律通常仅适用于青少年至其18岁生日;因此,GDL法律对18至20岁青年驾驶员的影响(如果有)以及这些计划是否应扩展至包括这些年龄较大的青年,值得进一步研究。本研究的目的是评估俄亥俄州2007年修订的GDL法律对涉及16至20岁青少年驾驶员的机动车碰撞事故及与碰撞相关伤害的影响,重点是对涉及18至20岁驾驶员的碰撞事故的影响。

方法

对俄亥俄州在GDL法律实施前(2004 - 2006年)和实施后(2008 - 2010年)涉及16至20岁驾驶员的机动车碰撞事故进行横断面分析。计算了16至20岁驾驶员和乘客基于人群的碰撞率的描述性统计数据,以及比较GDL法律实施前和实施后碰撞事故的率比和95%置信区间(CI)。

结果

与GDL法律实施前相比,GDL法律实施后16岁驾驶员的碰撞率较低(相对风险[RR]=0.94;95%CI,0.90 - 0.98),17岁驾驶员(RR = 0.90;95%CI,0.88 - 0.93),18岁驾驶员(RR = 0.95;95%CI,0.92 - 0.97),以及16 - 17岁驾驶员合并(RR = 0.92;95%CI,0.90 - 0.95)。GDL法律实施后19岁驾驶员(RR = 1.04;95%CI,1.01 - 1.07),20岁驾驶员(RR = 1.09;95%CI,1.05 - 1.13),以及18 - 20岁驾驶员合并(RR = 1.02;95%CI,1.00 - 1.03)的碰撞率较高。

结论

与以往研究不同,本调查使用关联数据评估涉及16 - 20岁驾驶员的碰撞事故中所有乘客的结果。GDL法律实施后,16 - 17岁驾驶员和乘客的碰撞、受伤碰撞及致命碰撞发生率较低,但19岁、20岁以及18 - 20岁驾驶员和乘客合并的总体碰撞发生率较高。这些发现支持将GDL限制扩展至18至20岁的新手驾驶员,以减少该群体的碰撞事故。

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