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认知反思、决策偏差与反应时间。

Cognitive Reflection, Decision Biases, and Response Times.

作者信息

Alós-Ferrer Carlos, Garagnani Michele, Hügelschäfer Sabine

机构信息

Department of Economics, University of Cologne Cologne, Germany.

出版信息

Front Psychol. 2016 Sep 22;7:1402. doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2016.01402. eCollection 2016.

Abstract

We present novel evidence on response times and personality traits in standard questions from the decision-making literature where responses are relatively slow (medians around half a minute or above). To this end, we measured response times in a number of incentivized, framed items (decisions from description) including the Cognitive Reflection Test, two additional questions following the same logic, and a number of classic questions used to study decision biases in probability judgments (base-rate neglect, the conjunction fallacy, and the ratio bias). All questions create a conflict between an intuitive process and more deliberative thinking. For each item, we then created a non-conflict version by either making the intuitive impulse correct (resulting in an alignment question), shutting it down (creating a neutral question), or making it dominant (creating a heuristic question). For CRT questions, the differences in response times are as predicted by dual-process theories, with alignment and heuristic variants leading to faster responses and neutral questions to slower responses than the original, conflict questions. For decision biases (where responses are slower), evidence is mixed. To explore the possible influence of personality factors on both choices and response times, we used standard personality scales including the Rational-Experiential Inventory and the Big Five, and used them as controls in regression analysis.

摘要

我们提供了关于决策文献中标准问题的反应时间和人格特质的新证据,这些问题的反应相对较慢(中位数约半分钟或更长)。为此,我们在一些有激励措施、设定框架的项目(基于描述的决策)中测量了反应时间,包括认知反思测试、遵循相同逻辑的另外两个问题,以及一些用于研究概率判断中决策偏差(基础比率忽视、合取谬误和比率偏差)的经典问题。所有问题都会在直觉过程和更审慎的思考之间产生冲突。然后,对于每个项目,我们通过使直觉冲动正确(产生一个一致性问题)、消除它(创建一个中性问题)或使其占主导地位(创建一个启发式问题)来创建一个无冲突版本。对于认知反思测试问题,反应时间的差异正如双过程理论所预测的那样,与原始的冲突问题相比,一致性和启发式变体导致更快的反应,而中性问题导致更慢的反应。对于决策偏差(反应较慢的情况),证据好坏参半。为了探究人格因素对选择和反应时间的可能影响,我们使用了包括理性 - 经验量表和大五人格量表在内的标准人格量表,并将它们用作回归分析中的控制变量。

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