National Institute of Environmental Health Research Center, National Health Research Institutes, Taiwan.
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Arnold School of Public Health, University of South Carolina, Columbia.
Ann Epidemiol. 2017 Jan;27(1):52-58. doi: 10.1016/j.annepidem.2016.09.016. Epub 2016 Oct 11.
The purpose of this study was to develop county-level estimates of poor health-related quality of life (HRQOL) among aged 65 years and older U.S. adults and to identify spatial clusters of poor HRQOL using a multilevel, poststratification approach.
Multilevel, random-intercept models were fit to HRQOL data (two domains: physical health and mental health) from the 2011-2012 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System. Using a poststratification, small area estimation approach, we generated county-level probabilities of having poor HRQOL for each domain in U.S. adults aged 65 and older, and validated our model-based estimates against state and county direct estimates.
County-level estimates of poor HRQOL in the United States ranged from 18.07% to 44.81% for physical health and 14.77% to 37.86% for mental health. Correlations between model-based and direct estimates were higher for physical than mental HRQOL. Counties located in the Arkansas, Kentucky, and Mississippi exhibited the worst physical HRQOL scores, but this pattern did not hold for mental HRQOL, which had the highest probability of mentally unhealthy days in Illinois, Indiana, and Vermont.
Substantial geographic variation in physical and mental HRQOL scores exists among older U.S. adults. State and local policy makers should consider these local conditions in targeting interventions and policies to counties with high levels of poor HRQOL scores.
本研究旨在针对美国 65 岁及以上老年人群,制定县一级的健康相关生活质量(HRQOL)不良估计值,并使用多层次后分层方法识别不良 HRQOL 的空间聚类。
采用多层次随机截距模型对 2011-2012 年行为风险因素监测系统中的 HRQOL 数据(两个领域:身体健康和心理健康)进行拟合。利用后分层、小区域估计方法,我们为美国 65 岁及以上成年人的每个领域生成了县一级不良 HRQOL 的概率,并将模型估计值与州和县的直接估计值进行了验证。
美国县一级不良 HRQOL 的估计值在身体健康方面从 18.07%到 44.81%不等,在心理健康方面从 14.77%到 37.86%不等。模型估计值与直接估计值之间的相关性在身体健康方面比心理健康方面更高。阿肯色州、肯塔基州和密西西比州的县的身体健康得分最差,但这种模式在心理健康方面并不适用,心理健康状况不佳的天数在伊利诺伊州、印第安纳州和佛蒙特州的概率最高。
美国老年人群的身体健康和心理健康 HRQOL 评分存在显著的地域差异。州和地方政策制定者应考虑到这些当地情况,将干预措施和政策针对 HRQOL 不良评分较高的县。