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英国海岸线附近极端海平面和风暴潮事件的时空分析。

Spatial and temporal analysis of extreme sea level and storm surge events around the coastline of the UK.

机构信息

Ocean and Earth Science, National Oceanography Centre, University of Southampton, European Way, Southampton SO14 3ZH, UK.

Faculty of Engineering and the Environment, University of Southampton, Southampton SO17 1BJ, UK.

出版信息

Sci Data. 2016 Dec 6;3:160107. doi: 10.1038/sdata.2016.107.

Abstract

In this paper we analyse the spatial footprint and temporal clustering of extreme sea level and skew surge events around the UK coast over the last 100 years (1915-2014). The vast majority of the extreme sea level events are generated by moderate, rather than extreme skew surges, combined with spring astronomical high tides. We distinguish four broad categories of spatial footprints of events and the distinct storm tracks that generated them. There have been rare events when extreme levels have occurred along two unconnected coastal regions during the same storm. The events that occur in closest succession (<4 days) typically impact different stretches of coastline. The spring/neap tidal cycle prevents successive extreme sea level events from happening within 4-8 days. Finally, the 2013/14 season was highly unusual in the context of the last 100 years from an extreme sea level perspective.

摘要

在本文中,我们分析了过去 100 年(1915-2014 年)英国沿海极端海平面和偏东浪事件的空间足迹和时间聚类。绝大多数极端海平面事件是由中度而不是极端偏东浪事件,再加上春季天文高潮引起的。我们区分了事件的四个广泛的空间足迹类别,以及产生它们的不同风暴轨迹。在同一风暴中,两个不相连的沿海地区都发生极端水平的罕见事件。发生时间最接近(<4 天)的事件通常会影响不同的海岸线。春/潮潮汐周期阻止了连续的极端海平面事件在 4-8 天内发生。最后,从极端海平面的角度来看,2013/14 季节在过去 100 年中是非常不寻常的。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1dd3/5139689/d5b4f1d36a81/sdata2016107-f1.jpg

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