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基于敏感性分析的道路网络脆弱性评估

Measuring Road Network Vulnerability with Sensitivity Analysis.

作者信息

Jun-Qiang Leng, Long-Hai Yang, Liu Wei-Yi, Zhao Lin

机构信息

School of Automobile Engineering, Harbin Institute of Technology at Weihai, Weihai, P. R. China.

School of Transportation Science and Engineering, Harbin Institute of Technology, Nan Gang District, Harbin, P. R. China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2017 Jan 26;12(1):e0170292. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0170292. eCollection 2017.

Abstract

This paper focuses on the development of a method for road network vulnerability analysis, from the perspective of capacity degradation, which seeks to identify the critical infrastructures in the road network and the operational performance of the whole traffic system. This research involves defining the traffic utility index and modeling vulnerability of road segment, route, OD (Origin Destination) pair and road network. Meanwhile, sensitivity analysis method is utilized to calculate the change of traffic utility index due to capacity degradation. This method, compared to traditional traffic assignment, can improve calculation efficiency and make the application of vulnerability analysis to large actual road network possible. Finally, all the above models and calculation method is applied to actual road network evaluation to verify its efficiency and utility. This approach can be used as a decision-supporting tool for evaluating the performance of road network and identifying critical infrastructures in transportation planning and management, especially in the resource allocation for mitigation and recovery.

摘要

本文从容量退化的角度,重点研究一种道路网络脆弱性分析方法,旨在识别道路网络中的关键基础设施以及整个交通系统的运行性能。该研究包括定义交通效用指标以及对路段、路线、OD(起点 - 终点)对和道路网络的脆弱性进行建模。同时,利用敏感性分析方法来计算由于容量退化导致的交通效用指标的变化。与传统交通分配相比,该方法可以提高计算效率,并使脆弱性分析应用于大型实际道路网络成为可能。最后,将上述所有模型和计算方法应用于实际道路网络评估,以验证其效率和实用性。这种方法可作为一种决策支持工具,用于评估道路网络的性能,并在交通规划和管理中识别关键基础设施,特别是在减灾和恢复的资源分配方面。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8b0e/5268385/7594b3b3adda/pone.0170292.g001.jpg

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