Thurston Holly, Freisthler Bridget, Bell Janice, Tancredi Daniel, Romano Patrick S, Miyamoto Sheridan, Joseph Jill G
Betty Irene Moore School of Nursing, UC Davis, 4610 X Street, Sacramento, CA 95817, USA.
Ohio State University, College of Social Work, 1947 College Road, Columbus, OH 43210, USA.
Spat Spatiotemporal Epidemiol. 2017 Feb;20:1-8. doi: 10.1016/j.sste.2016.12.004. Epub 2017 Jan 3.
This descriptive study utilized Bernoulli and Poisson spatial scan statistical models in SatScan v.9.4 to examine the distribution in space and time of residence of maltreatment cases-operationalized as families with serious maltreatment (resulting in death or hospitalization) of children under 6 years-for the presence of clusters ("hot spots"). In the Poisson model, a population dataset of serious maltreatment cases were non-randomly dispersed in four major areas, with these "hot spots" moving over time and space. Most cases were outside these clusters. In the Bernoulli model, the geographic distribution of a case-control dataset of families with serious maltreatment who were previously investigated by child welfare did not differ compared to controls previously investigated by child welfare with no serious maltreatment. Findings suggest that child fatality prevention efforts such as Back to Sleep and Never Shake a Baby campaigns should continue to be universal efforts, targeted to all parents.
这项描述性研究在SatScan v.9.4中使用了伯努利和泊松空间扫描统计模型,以检查虐待案件(定义为6岁以下儿童遭受严重虐待[导致死亡或住院]的家庭)居住情况在空间和时间上的分布,以确定是否存在聚集现象(“热点”)。在泊松模型中,严重虐待案件的人口数据集在四个主要区域呈非随机分布,这些“热点”随时间和空间移动。大多数案件不在这些聚集区域内。在伯努利模型中,曾接受儿童福利机构调查的严重虐待家庭的病例对照数据集的地理分布与未曾遭受严重虐待、曾接受儿童福利机构调查的对照家庭相比没有差异。研究结果表明,诸如“仰睡防窒息”和“绝不摇晃婴儿”运动等预防儿童死亡的措施应继续作为面向所有父母的普遍措施。