King's College London, King's Health Partners, Division of Health and Social Care Research, London, SE1 3QD, UK.
Centre for Academic Primary Care, NIHR School for Primary Care Research, School of Social and Community Medicine, University of Bristol, Canynge Hall, 39 Whatley Road, Bristol, BS8 2PS, UK.
NPJ Prim Care Respir Med. 2017 Apr 27;27(1):31. doi: 10.1038/s41533-017-0028-8.
Prevention of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease hospital readmissions is an international priority aimed to slow disease progression and limit costs. Evidence of the risk of readmission and of interventions that might prevent it is lacking. We aimed to determine readmission risk for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, factors influencing that risk, and variation in readmission risk between hospitals across 7.5 million people in London. This retrospective longitudinal observational study included all chronic obstructive pulmonary disease admissions to any hospital in the United Kingdom among patients registered at London general practices who had emergency National Health Service chronic obstructive pulmonary disease hospital admissions between April 2006 and March 2010. Influence of patient characteristics, geographical deprivation score, length of stay, day of week of admission or of discharge, and admitting hospital, were assessed using multiple logistic regression. 38,894 chronic obstructive pulmonary disease admissions of 20,932 patients aged ≥ 45 years registered with London general practices were recorded. 6295 patients (32.2%) had at least one chronic obstructive pulmonary disease readmission within 1 year. 1993 patients (10.2%) were readmitted within 30 days and 3471 patients (17.8%) were readmitted within 90 days. Age and patient geographical deprivation score were very weak predictors of readmission. Rates of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease readmissions within 30 days and within 90 days did not vary among the majority of hospitals. The finding of lower chronic obstructive pulmonary disease readmission rates than was previously estimated and the limited variation in these rates between hospitals suggests that the opportunity to reduce chronic obstructive pulmonary disease readmission risk is small.
LOWER RISK OF READMISSION FOR LONDON-BASED PATIENTS: A managed reduction of hospital readmissions for London-based chronic lung disease patients may not be needed. Preventing hospital readmissions for patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a key priority to improve patient care and limit costs. However, few data are available to determine and ultimately reduce the risk of readmission. Timothy Harries at King's College, London, and co-workers conducted a longitudinal study incorporating all COPD admissions into UK hospitals for 20,932 patients registered at London general practitioners between 2006 and 2010. They found that 32% of patients were readmitted within a year, 17.8% within 90 days and 10% within 30 days. Neither age nor geographical deprivation were useful predictors of readmission. These represent lower than estimated levels of readmission, suggesting there may be fewer opportunities to reduce the risk of readmission further.
本研究旨在确定慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)的再入院风险,影响该风险的因素,以及伦敦 750 万人中各医院再入院风险的差异。
这是一项回顾性纵向观察性研究,纳入了在 2006 年 4 月至 2010 年 3 月期间,在伦敦普通科医生处登记的患者中,因急诊 NHS COPD 住院而在英国任何医院接受 COPD 治疗的所有患者。使用多变量逻辑回归评估患者特征、地理位置剥夺评分、住院时间、入院或出院日、以及收治医院对再入院风险的影响。
在年龄≥45 岁、在伦敦普通科医生处登记的 20932 名患者中,共记录了 38894 例 COPD 住院治疗,6295 例(32.2%)患者在 1 年内至少有 1 次 COPD 再入院,1993 例(10.2%)患者在 30 天内再入院,3471 例(17.8%)患者在 90 天内再入院。年龄和患者地理位置剥夺评分是再入院的弱预测因素。大多数医院 30 天和 90 天内 COPD 再入院率没有差异。研究发现 COPD 再入院率低于之前的估计,各医院间 COPD 再入院率差异有限,这表明降低 COPD 再入院风险的机会很小。
伦敦地区患者 COPD 再入院风险较低:基于伦敦的慢性肺部疾病患者的医院再入院管理可能不需要减少。降低 COPD 患者的医院再入院率是改善患者护理和限制成本的一个关键重点。然而,很少有数据可用于确定并最终降低再入院的风险。伦敦国王学院的 Timothy Harries 及其同事进行了一项纵向研究,纳入了 2006 年至 2010 年期间在伦敦普通科医生处登记的 20932 名患者的所有 COPD 住院治疗,他们发现 32%的患者在一年内再次入院,17.8%在 90 天内再次入院,10%在 30 天内再次入院。年龄和地理位置剥夺都不是再入院的有用预测因素。这些数据低于估计的再入院水平,这表明进一步降低再入院风险的机会可能较少。