Dewitt Barry, Davis Alexander, Fischhoff Baruch, Hanmer Janel
Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA, USA (BD, AD).
Department of Engineering and Public Policy and the Institute for Politics and Strategy, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA, USA (BF).
Med Decis Making. 2017 Aug;37(6):647-656. doi: 10.1177/0272989X17696999. Epub 2017 Apr 28.
Health-related quality of life (HRQL) scores are used extensively to quantify the effectiveness of medical interventions. Societal preference-based HRQL scores aim to produce societal valuations of health by aggregating valuations from individuals in the general population, where each aggregation procedure embodies different ethical principles, as explained in social choice theory.
Using the Health Utilities Index as an exemplar, we evaluate societal preference-based HRQL measures in the social choice theory framework.
We find that current preference aggregation procedures are typically justified in terms of social choice theory. However, by convention, they use only one of many possible aggregation procedures (the mean). Central to the choice of aggregation procedure is how to treat preference heterogeneity, which can affect analyses that rely on HRQL scores, such as cost-effectiveness analyses. We propose an analytical-deliberative framework for choosing one (or a set of) aggregation procedure(s) in a socially credible way, which we believe to be analytically sound and empirically tractable, but leave open the institutional mechanism needed to implement it.
Socially acceptable decisions about aggregating heterogeneous preferences require eliciting stakeholders' preferences among the set of analytically sound procedures, representing different ethical principles. We describe a framework for eliciting such preferences for the creation of HRQL scores, informed by social choice theory and behavioral decision research.
健康相关生活质量(HRQL)评分被广泛用于量化医学干预措施的效果。基于社会偏好的HRQL评分旨在通过汇总普通人群中个体的评估来得出健康的社会价值评估,正如社会选择理论所解释的那样,每种汇总程序都体现了不同的伦理原则。
以健康效用指数为例,我们在社会选择理论框架内评估基于社会偏好的HRQL测量方法。
我们发现,当前的偏好汇总程序通常依据社会选择理论是合理的。然而,按照惯例,它们只使用众多可能的汇总程序之一(均值)。汇总程序选择的核心在于如何处理偏好异质性,这可能会影响依赖HRQL评分的分析,如成本效益分析。我们提出了一个分析 - 审议框架,用于以社会可信的方式选择一种(或一组)汇总程序,我们认为该框架在分析上是合理的且在实证上易于处理,但实施它所需的制度机制仍未确定。
关于汇总异质偏好的社会可接受决策需要在代表不同伦理原则的一系列分析上合理的程序中引出利益相关者的偏好。我们描述了一个在社会选择理论和行为决策研究的指导下,引出此类偏好以创建HRQL评分的框架。