Bacaër Nicolas
Institut de recherche pour le développement, Unité 209 (UMMISCO), Bondy, France; Université Pierre-et-Marie-Curie, campus des Cordeliers, Paris, France.
C R Biol. 2017 May;340(5):259-263. doi: 10.1016/j.crvi.2017.04.002. Epub 2017 May 12.
This study focuses on the speed of extinction of a population living in a random environment that follows a continuous-time Markov chain. Each individual dies or reproduces at a rate that depends on the environment. The number of offspring during reproduction follows a given probability law that also depends on the environment. In the so-called subcritical case where the population goes for sure to extinction, there is an explicit formula for the speed of extinction. In some sense, environmental stochasticity slows down population extinction.
本研究聚焦于生活在遵循连续时间马尔可夫链的随机环境中的种群灭绝速度。每个个体的死亡或繁殖速率取决于环境。繁殖期间的后代数量遵循同样取决于环境的给定概率法则。在所谓的亚临界情形下,种群肯定会灭绝,此时存在一个关于灭绝速度的显式公式。从某种意义上说,环境随机性减缓了种群灭绝。