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培养阴性中性粒细胞性腹水患者住院50天死亡率的预测因素

Predictors of fifty days in-hospital mortality in patients with culture negative neutrocytic ascites.

作者信息

Bal Chinmaya Kumar, Bhatia Vikram, Daman Ripu

机构信息

Department of Hepatology, Institute of Liver and Biliary Sciences (ILBS), New Delhi, India.

Institute of Liver and Biliary Sciences (ILBS), New Delhi, India.

出版信息

BMC Gastroenterol. 2017 May 16;17(1):64. doi: 10.1186/s12876-017-0621-x.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Culture negative neutrocytic ascites is a variant of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis. But there are conflicting reports regarding the mortality associated with culture negativeneutrocytic ascites. Therefore we aim to determine the predictors of mortality associated with culture negativeneutrocytic ascites in a larger sample population.

METHODS

We analysed 170 patients consecutively admitted to intensive care unit with diagnosis of culture negative neutrocytic ascites. The clinical, laboratory parameters, etiology of liver cirrhosis was determined along with the scores like model for end stage liver disease, child turcotte pugh were recorded.

RESULTS

The 50 day in-hospital mortality rate in culture negative neutrocytic ascites was 39.41% (n = 67). In univariate analysis, means of parameters like total leucocyte count, urea, bilirubin, alanine transaminase, aspartate transaminase, international normalized ratio, acute kidney injury, septic shock, hepatic encephalopathy and model for end stage liver disease were significantly different among survived and those who died (P value ≤0.05). Cox proportional regression model showed the hazard ratio (HR) of acute kidney injury was 2.212 (95% CI: 1.334-3.667), septic shock (HR = 1.895, 95% CI: 1.081-3.323) and model for end stage liver disease (HR = 1.054, 95% CI: 1.020-1.090). Receiver operating characteristics curve showed aspartate aminotransferase (AST) had highest area under the curve 0.761 (95% CI: 0.625-0.785).

CONCLUSION

Patients with culture negative neutrocytic ascites have a mortality rate comparable to spontaneous bacterial peritonitis. aspartate aminotransferase, alanine aminotransferase (ALT), acute kidney injury (AKI), model for end stage liver disease (MELD) and septic shock are the independent predictors of 50 days in-hospital mortality in culture negative neutrocytic ascites.

摘要

背景

培养阴性中性粒细胞性腹水是自发性细菌性腹膜炎的一种变体。但关于培养阴性中性粒细胞性腹水相关死亡率的报道存在矛盾。因此,我们旨在确定更大样本量人群中培养阴性中性粒细胞性腹水相关死亡率的预测因素。

方法

我们分析了170例连续入住重症监护病房且诊断为培养阴性中性粒细胞性腹水的患者。确定了临床、实验室参数、肝硬化病因,并记录了终末期肝病模型、Child-Turcotte-Pugh评分等。

结果

培养阴性中性粒细胞性腹水患者的50天院内死亡率为39.41%(n = 67)。单因素分析中,存活者和死亡者在白细胞总数、尿素、胆红素、丙氨酸转氨酶、天冬氨酸转氨酶、国际标准化比值、急性肾损伤、感染性休克、肝性脑病和终末期肝病模型等参数均值上存在显著差异(P值≤0.05)。Cox比例回归模型显示急性肾损伤的风险比(HR)为2.212(95%可信区间:1.334 - 3.667),感染性休克(HR = 1.895,95%可信区间:1.081 - 3.323)和终末期肝病模型(HR = 1.054,95%可信区间:1.020 - 1.090)。受试者工作特征曲线显示天冬氨酸转氨酶(AST)的曲线下面积最高,为0.761(95%可信区间:0.625 - 0.785)。

结论

培养阴性中性粒细胞性腹水患者的死亡率与自发性细菌性腹膜炎相当。天冬氨酸转氨酶、丙氨酸转氨酶(ALT)、急性肾损伤(AKI)、终末期肝病模型(MELD)和感染性休克是培养阴性中性粒细胞性腹水患者50天院内死亡率的独立预测因素。

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