Specogna Adrian V, Turin Tanvir C, Patten Scott B, Hill Michael D
Department of Health Professions, College of Health and Public Affairs, University of Central Florida, 12805 Pegasus Drive, Orlando, FL, 32816, USA.
Department of Family Medicine, Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, 3330 Hospital Drive NW, Calgary, AB, T2N 4N1, Canada.
BMC Neurol. 2017 Aug 10;17(1):158. doi: 10.1186/s12883-017-0930-2.
Previous studies have identified various treatment and patient characteristics that may be associated with higher hospital cost after spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH); a devastating type of stroke. Patient morbidity is perhaps the least understood of these cost-driving factors. We describe how hypertension and other patient morbidities affect length of stay, and hospital treatment costs after ICH using primary and simulated data. We also describe the relationship between cost and length of stay within these patients.
We used a cohort design; evaluating 987 consecutive ICH patients across one decade in a Canadian center. Economic, treatment, and patient data were obtained from clinical and administrative sources. Multimorbidity was defined as the presence of one or more diagnoses at hospital admission in addition to a primary diagnosis of ICH.
Hypertension was the most frequent (67%) morbidity within these patients, as well as the strongest predictor of longer stay (adjusted RR for >7 days: 1.31, 95% CI: 1.07-1.60), and was significantly associated with higher cost per visit when accounting for other morbidities (adjusted cost increase for hypertension $8123.51, 95% CI: $4088.47 to $12,856.72 USD). A Monte Carlo simulation drawing one million samples of patients estimated for a generation (100 years) assuming 0.94% population growth per year, and a hospitalization rate of 12 per 100,000 inhabitants, supported these findings (p = 0.516 for the difference in unadjusted cost: simulated vs primary). Using a restricted cubic spline, we observed that the rate of change in overall cost for all patients was greatest for the first 3 weeks (p < 0.001) compared to subsequent weeks.
Patient multimorbidity, specifically hypertension, is a strong predictor of longer stay and cost after ICH. The non-linear relationship between cost and time should also be considered when forecasting healthcare spending in these patients.
先前的研究已经确定了各种治疗和患者特征,这些特征可能与自发性脑出血(ICH,一种毁灭性的中风类型)后较高的住院费用相关;在这些导致费用增加的因素中,患者的发病率可能是最不为人所理解的。我们使用原始数据和模拟数据来描述高血压及其他患者发病率如何影响脑出血后的住院时间和住院治疗费用。我们还描述了这些患者中费用与住院时间之间的关系。
我们采用队列设计,对加拿大一个中心十年间连续收治的987例脑出血患者进行评估。经济、治疗和患者数据来自临床和行政来源。多种疾病并存被定义为除脑出血的主要诊断外,入院时还存在一种或多种诊断。
高血压是这些患者中最常见的疾病(67%),也是住院时间延长的最强预测因素(住院超过7天的调整风险比:1.31,95%置信区间:1.07 - 1.60),并且在考虑其他疾病时,与每次就诊费用较高显著相关(高血压导致的调整费用增加为8123.51美元,95%置信区间:4088.47美元至12856.72美元)。蒙特卡罗模拟抽取了一百万个患者样本,假设每年人口增长率为0.94%,每10万居民中有12人的住院率,对一代人(100年)进行估计,支持了这些发现(未调整费用差异的p值:模拟数据与原始数据相比为0.516)。使用受限立方样条,我们观察到与随后几周相比,所有患者的总体费用在前3周的变化率最大(p < 0.001)。
患者的多种疾病并存,尤其是高血压,是脑出血后住院时间延长和费用增加的有力预测因素。在预测这些患者的医疗费用时,还应考虑费用与时间的非线性关系。