Yamaguchi Yusuke, Misumi Toshihiro, Maruo Kazushi
a Japan-Asia Data Science , Development, Astellas Pharma Inc. , Tokyo , Japan.
b Department of Clinical Epidemiology , National Center of Neurology and Psychiatry , Kodaira Tokyo , Japan.
J Biopharm Stat. 2018;28(4):645-667. doi: 10.1080/10543406.2017.1372772. Epub 2017 Nov 27.
Longitudinal binary data are commonly encountered in clinical trials. Multiple imputation is an approach for getting a valid estimation of treatment effects under an assumption of missing at random mechanism. Although there are a variety of multiple imputation methods for the longitudinal binary data, a limited number of researches have reported on relative performances of the methods. Moreover, when focusing on the treatment effect throughout a period that has often been used in clinical evaluations of specific disease areas, no definite investigations comparing the methods have been available. We conducted an extensive simulation study to examine comparative performances of six multiple imputation methods available in the SAS MI procedure for longitudinal binary data, where two endpoints of responder rates at a specified time point and throughout a period were assessed. The simulation study suggested that results from naive approaches of a single imputation with non-responders and a complete case analysis could be very sensitive against missing data. The multiple imputation methods using a monotone method and a full conditional specification with a logistic regression imputation model were recommended for obtaining unbiased and robust estimations of the treatment effect. The methods were illustrated with data from a mental health research.
纵向二元数据在临床试验中经常遇到。多重填补是一种在随机缺失机制假设下获得治疗效果有效估计的方法。尽管有多种针对纵向二元数据的多重填补方法,但关于这些方法相对性能的研究报告数量有限。此外,当关注在特定疾病领域临床评估中经常使用的整个时间段内的治疗效果时,尚无比较这些方法的明确研究。我们进行了一项广泛的模拟研究,以检验SAS MI过程中用于纵向二元数据的六种多重填补方法的比较性能,其中评估了指定时间点和整个时间段内反应率的两个终点。模拟研究表明,对无反应者进行单一填补和完整病例分析的简单方法得出的结果可能对缺失数据非常敏感。建议使用单调方法和带有逻辑回归填补模型的完全条件设定的多重填补方法来获得治疗效果的无偏且稳健的估计。这些方法通过一项心理健康研究的数据进行了说明。